The reality is with 4 STRs and 5 years of STR experience YOU are one of the veterans here.
80%+ of the replies you get here will be people with less experience than you. 100% will be people with less experience in your local market than you in this case.
This forum is great for discussion but I would never trust major financial decisions based on someone on a forum online. The reality is that once you mention spending money, 20-40% of the replies here will be realtors, lenders, and managers whose livelihood is dependent on people like you continuing to buy. Many of the same type that last year were saying "of course should offer $200k over asking price with no contingencies, this amazing STR market is just the new normal!".
I have the buying itch too but it's a good time to be careful and underwrite VERY conservatively. Remember, we haven't even gotten to the hard part yet. This is just saturation. We haven't even seen what things will look like if travel demand (which is still at unsustainable record highs) actually starts to level out and return to normal.
There are a lot of good realtors, and a lot of really good investors on this forum, but just be careful. To further @Collin Hays's stock market example, a lot of the advice from realtors (who got a taste of a new lifestyle over the last 2 years that they are desperate to maintain) telling people that this is the perfect time to buy because you can finally negotiate again and don't have to offer way over asking price remind me of the fund managers telling people it was a great time to buy Peleton stock at a "discount" when it dropped from $120 to $105. Of course the reality was that the REAL pain hadn't even started yet (it's all the way down at $13 now).
No one knows what will happen and maybe travel will stay forever resilient, but a catastrophic drop in occupancy rates and home prices that make the current "hard times" seem like the really good times is still a very real possibility. Again, all this hubbub over the last few months was nothing more than supply growing faster than already outlier travel demand continued to GROW. Imagine what would happen if travel demand actually starts to drop alongside this massive supply increase.