@Ejy Mirjan, I have seen some investors use a spreadsheet and actually calculate a numerical risk factor based on several categories such as, location, age, type, construction, and population stats, just to name a few. I personally feel that this is overkill and truly a waste of time since risk is a relative term that can't be quantified by one, absolute number.
I recommend a much more simple strategy that works very well for Kansas City's markets.
Basically, I look at 3 things:
1) Location
- A) Inner city - Highest Risk
- B) Midtown (areas surrounding the inner city) - Medium risk
- C) Suburbs and surrounding cities - Lowest risk
2) Property Type
- A) Single family homes - Highest risk
- B) Multi Family - Medium risk
- C) Commercial (office space/ retail space) - Lowest risk
3) Property Condition
- A) Needs major work - Highest risk
- B) Needs minor work - Medium risk
- C) Needs no work - Lowest risk
So, based on this formula, you can see that if you were to choose a house in the inner city that needs a complete rehab, you would be taking the highest risk. If you were to choose a commercial property that is 95% occupied and located in the suburbs, you would be taking the least amount of risk.
Obviously I am generalizing about a lot of things here, but this is a good place to start.