I've been in construction for over 20 years, so I feel comfortable agreeing with a couple points, and I'd like to add...
"2. Supply - The average backlog for builders in MN are 3-5 years and with the tighter immigration policy, the backlog may get longer. As construction industry is seeing shortage of qualified labor and higher turnover. We had predicted last year the supply would not catch up with demand for 4 years, but we are pushing out that time line out to 5-7 years."
Immigration policy will absolutely impact the ability to build. Hiring in general over the last several years has been very difficult, especially in the skilled trades. This will be just one more challenge that will "trickle up". Additionally, one of the major issues with building here in Minnesota is the Tax and regulatory environment. I read an article about a builder who was putting up identical homes here and in North Dakota who said just code compliance issues here elevated his cost of building by anywhere from $15-25,000!
As a recent transplant from Denver, I can personally attest to the elevated cost of building and working here. Managing commercial projects here I anticipate a minimum of 10% increase in labor costs and pretty close to the same in tax burden over the same type of projects in Denver...
Definitely interesting times we live in...