@James Honeycutt Hey James, I realize your original post was about a month ago, but still wanted to chime in. Sounds like you're looking to purchase a primary home. Correct me if I'm wrong. By summer of 2023, you would most likely see a reduction in interest rates, however to your point, home prices will not have dropped. We aren't looking at a real estate "crash" more or less a real estate "slowdown". We've been going 80mph over the past couple years, and may slow down to 50mph. Still appreciating, just not at rate we've seen. Silly analogy but hopefully gets the point across. Also, with it being a primary home, you would need to move in within 60 days. If not, would require a higher down payment as it would be an investment property/second home.
In general, for anyone buying a primary now, I would approach it as a 2-way transaction. Avoid the upfront costs (rate buydown via discount points, up front mortgage insurance, etc.) Ultimately, whenever inflation is controlled (biggest enemy to mortgage rates), you'll see a rate reduction. Don't have a crystal ball by any means, but when that does happen, you'll have an opportunity to refinance. Let me know if you have any questions. Good luck!