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All Forum Posts by: Phil Avery

Phil Avery has started 13 posts and replied 69 times.

Post: Seeking Strategic Investment Advice for Today's Market

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Wale Lawal:

@Phil Avery

Considering your financial situation and the current market conditions, each of the options you're contemplating has its own merits.

Given your inclination to begin with a significant amount of equity, option 1 may be a good fit for your objectives. But, it's critical to evaluate the state of the local market, your capacity for managing several properties, and the possibility for cash flow.

If you see great potential for long-term appreciation and are okay with the higher property price, option 2 can be a good course of action. To guarantee a good cash flow, make sure you thoroughly run the figures.

For a greater investment, Option 3 gives the advantage of patience and a higher down payment. If you want to increase the size of your financial buffer or are having trouble discovering possibilities in the present market, this might be a wise decision.

Ultimately, your decision should align with your long-term goals, risk tolerance, and local market dynamics. Continue researching and networking to gather insights specific to your area, and don't hesitate to consult with real estate professionals for advice tailored to your situation.


 Yes, agreed. Thank you. 

Post: Investment in a Tight Market: Navigating Negative Cash Flow for Long-Term Gain

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41

Hello everyone,

I'm navigating the challenging waters of finding cash-flowing properties in my market and came across a deal that's got me pondering. This property shows a negative cash flow and cash-on-cash ROI from the get-go. However, the future looks bright with a promising pro forma cap rate and the potential for significant equity growth and improved returns down the line. I'm considering this with only a 5% initial investment.

Given the tight market, I'm leaning towards a strategy where I aim to break even (or close to it) for the first year or so, with hopes of refinancing when the market conditions improve. I've heard the golden rule: 'Never invest in a property that starts off losing money.' Yet, I also believe in adapting strategies to fit the current market dynamics.

What's your take on this approach? Is it too risky, or could it be a viable strategy considering the market's state? Would love to hear your insights and any personal experiences you might have with similar situations.

On a side note, I'm currently renting a house for $1425. I could not see an obvious benefit to House hacking this property as opposed to renting both units out? What I am missing here? Seems more like a preference rather than a way to lower expenses. I'd own the property either way, its more inconvenient for me to House hack, and I'm not seeing the primary benefit. If anyone can clear that up for me too it would be appreciated! 

Thanks again! 

Post: Seeking Strategic Investment Advice for Today's Market

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Steve Vaughan:
Quote from @Phil Avery:

Hello, BiggerPockets community,

I'm reaching out to gather your insights on the most prudent investment strategy given the current market conditions. With $20k in savings and an additional $4k monthly saving rate, I'm navigating my next steps carefully, especially since I value starting with a substantial equity position in any deal.

Here are the options I'm contemplating:

  1. Invest in a Low Entry Property: With my capacity for a 20% down payment, I'm considering properties in the $100k-$120k range. This approach aligns with my preference for immediate equity and the potential to replicate this strategy with a second property by year's end.
  2. House Hack a New Construction Duplex: I've spotted a duplex priced at $405k that's appealing for a live-in investment. Using an FHA loan, I'd put down 3.5%, although this would stretch my budget slightly. The long-term benefits seem promising, but it's a considerable leap.
  3. Delay Action and Save More: Alternatively, I could pause any immediate investment, focusing on boosting my savings for a larger down payment on a more significant property next year.

Your experiences, insights, and any advice you can share would be immensely valuable to me. I've always found the BiggerPockets community to be a wealth of knowledge and support. Thank you in advance for your guidance!

Glad you're looking for equity capture going in.  That is our REI buffer and isn't discussed enough IMO.

I did well with lower priced singles, but this was when prices were lower up to 2018 ish and I bought with seller-financing or cash.  Tough to find lenders if the loan amount is less than $100k.
I specialized in c class houses for condition (age) vs c class rough neighborhoods.  

I think duplexes require 5% down.  I like your househack strategy, just might lower my target to an existing in the $250k range.  

 Agreed! It's certainly not talked about enough IMO. Everyone is always talking about ways to decrease/eliminate the upfront costs and never mentions how that negatively impacts your overall position across the board in the long run. Fundamentals are key for me. 

Thanks for sharing your insights. Currently, its very hard to make SFR cash flow in my market and you're right, I do expect it to be a bit challenging finding a lender for this purchase amount, but not nearly as hard as it is to make SFR's cash flow! lol.

I like the idea of switching up the criteria a bit to look into existing builds and a lower price point. That would mitigate some of the associated risks as well. Thanks for chiming in! 

Post: Seeking Strategic Investment Advice for Today's Market

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Henry Lazerow:

Will that duplex cashflow? Factor in 3-5% vacancy and also $1000 a year per unit cap/ex. Look for positive cashflow. Atleast in my market its usually found on 3/4 units or 2 units that are value add projects.


Thanks for chiming in. Unfortunately, this duplex will not immediately cash flow. I believe it will barely break even and in addition to that, I wouldn't be able to afford an extended vacancy period either as that will require more reserves than I have currently available. Perhaps I should broaden my search to include triplexes and quadplexes.I know FHA has additional requirements for 3/4 unit properties, but I pretty sure I can still put down 5% on a conventional loan if the numbers work.

Thanks again! I'll check out some 3/4 unit properties and see if I can make that work

Post: Section 8 Housing

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Jay Thomas:

Cool idea!First off, to get on board, talk to your local Public Housing Authority (PHA), make sure your place meets safety standards, and be ready for checks. Section 8 tenants can bring stable income and stick around, but heads up, the rent might be a bit less. Also, there will be regular checks and more paperwork. It really depends on what you want; if you like having steady, long-term tenants and don't mind some extra work, Section 8 could work. But if you're all about making as much money as possible with less effort, it might not be your best bet. Just weigh your goals and decide!


 Great response. 100% agreed. 

Post: Seeking Strategic Investment Advice for Today's Market

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41

Hello, BiggerPockets community,

I'm reaching out to gather your insights on the most prudent investment strategy given the current market conditions. With $20k in savings and an additional $4k monthly saving rate, I'm navigating my next steps carefully, especially since I value starting with a substantial equity position in any deal.

Here are the options I'm contemplating:

  1. Invest in a Low Entry Property: With my capacity for a 20% down payment, I'm considering properties in the $100k-$120k range. This approach aligns with my preference for immediate equity and the potential to replicate this strategy with a second property by year's end.
  2. House Hack a New Construction Duplex: I've spotted a duplex priced at $405k that's appealing for a live-in investment. Using an FHA loan, I'd put down 3.5%, although this would stretch my budget slightly. The long-term benefits seem promising, but it's a considerable leap.
  3. Delay Action and Save More: Alternatively, I could pause any immediate investment, focusing on boosting my savings for a larger down payment on a more significant property next year.

Your experiences, insights, and any advice you can share would be immensely valuable to me. I've always found the BiggerPockets community to be a wealth of knowledge and support. Thank you in advance for your guidance!

Post: How to finance first Multifamily deal?

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Tom Shallcross:

That strategy is what many investors go after. However your numbers are flawed in this example and it wouldn't be worth the time, risk, nor effort. 

If you have an 800k back-end ARV and get 70% LTV, your new loan would be around 560k (also note that cash-out refis have a higher interest rate that no one accounts for in the BRRRR method). You originally bought for 660k putting 20% down so your original loan to pay off is roughly 530k. You pay off the 530k with new 560k loan leaving you with 30k cash to recoup from your original 180k investment. You're still out 150k between original down payment and funding the rehab and this doesn't even factor in closing costs from the two closings, holding costs, and your rehab inevitably being more than you think.


 Agreed, and well done. 

Post: 80 Unit Apt Building in Houston, TX - 10% Cap - Recently Remodeled. Seeking Investors

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41

Yes, absolutely. I'll message you. 

Post: 80 Unit Apt Building in Houston, TX - 10% Cap - Recently Remodeled. Seeking Investors

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Oscar Garcia:

I’m interested. 


Message sent! ;)

Post: 80 Unit Apt Building in Houston, TX - 10% Cap - Recently Remodeled. Seeking Investors

Phil Avery
Pro Member
Posted
  • Investor
  • Houston, TX
  • Posts 70
  • Votes 41
Quote from @Simcha Lustig:

Same here

ill private message you


 Message sent! ;)