Originally posted by @Account Closed:
Originally posted by @Brad Cogswell:
And spillage into Baltimore definitely is happening in certain areas.
I suspect that to be the case... there seems to be at least 8 major towns with a population of 200,000 or more in at least 5 different cluster of states near Baltimore and with housing prices and rent significantly higher than Baltimore's from DC, Jersey, Newark, Virginia Beach etc; DCs economy seems to be quite robust... at $555,000 median value buying activity seems to be quite robust.
Spillage into Baltimore will eventually raise housing prices, but what concerns me are:
(1) the amazing quantity of empty houses (16,000+)
(2) the slow rate of disposing of the empty houses (how many abandoned homes have been rehabbed or torn down in the past 5 years?)
and
(3) the large number of houses for sale.
All of these are going to drag on appreciation and rent increases for a long time.
Look at the Zillow maps below to give you a relative sense of the number of houses for sale in Baltimore (pop. 595,000) and Washington, DC (pop 670,000). These screenshots show the number of houses for sale at less than $150,000 in each city, and between $150,000 and $300,000 in each city:
So Baltimore has 1,455 homes for sale at less than $150,000, while DC has 12 homes for sale in that price range:
In the $150,000 to $300,000 range, we see a similar contrast:
Baltimore has 734 homes for sale in the $150-$300,000 range, while DC has 41 for sale:
These visual comparisons illustrate that Baltimore is oversupplied with inexpensive homes, while DC essentially has no affordable homes for sale (many of the less than $300,000 listings are auctions or very small houses in disrepair).
It's currently a buyer's market for low priced homes in Baltimore, but with so many vacant homes and so many homes for sale, it looks like it will be a buyer's market for several years.