Originally posted by @Ben Leybovich:
@Michael Ealy offered good food for thought. I love it.
But, Michael's explanation is almost too much. The simple math is that when the investment return is maximized on a risk-adjusted basis, it's time to get out. The more time you allow into the equation, the more external factors pushing the risk higher.
Thus - get out when the investment is maximized, but be prepared to stay for a decade if can't get out.
What are the risk factors that push risk higher? I assume that capex expenses and changes in the market could be two, but wouldn't you just need to properly budget for the capex expenses?
And re: changes in the market, what if the market is continuing to appreciate strongly? Aren't you better off staying in a deal that you got into 5-10 years ago having enjoyed that appreciation and looking forward to more strong appreciation?
Is the same true of SFR's where it's common to long term hold them and then get a pop in CoC when your mortgage is paid off down the line?