@Jimmy Toussaint
Most listed deals trade somewhere between a 5.5-9% cap rate on Lot Rent income. If you're getting a high cap rate, check out:
- What's the cap rate for a large institutional deal in the area? (Try looking up national brokers like Marcus / Millichap, Northmarq, Colliers) to see if they have reports on the area. Datacomp also has JLT reports that contain cap rates for different markets.
- What's the cap rate for MF of similar size that you're looking at? If the cap rates are the same, then there's no discount - it's just a high cap rate area, and yes, while it's possible to find great off-market discounts, most of the sellers of bigger parks have enough people giving them advice that they're able to price at market level.
- Are they capping POH rents as well as lot rents?
- How big is the city / MSA?
- What type of infrastructure? City Water / Sewer? Wells? Septic?
- How much deferred maintenance?
- Does it have paved roads?
- Are the expenses realistic? If the expenses are less than 30% most likely they've left out a bunch. (30% is on the lower bound - expect higher) Or mom and pop are doing the work themselves and not counting it.
Cap rate can be the siren's song inviting you to doom since the story it tells is sometimes incomplete.
Check out what your Year 1 Yield on Capital is (so you factor in all deferred maintenance and cap ex - all your equity, not just the 'price'). In the negotiating phase, you don't need to bring this all up and spook your seller, but it's good to at least ask the seller, "How much do you estimate in costs for deferred maintenance / cap ex repairs?"
If you go in and do your due diligence and find out the seller's were wrong, then you can tell them that you based your proforma on their numbers and their numbers were wrong, so you'll need to retrade (without calling them liars! ^^)
I underwrote a nice clean park in an area that sub $1m for 140+ lots - great deal on paper. But upon further investigation, turned out the lots needed major prep to bring on homes - and the seller knew it because he was a MH installer.
Another owner I know, they bought a park at basis of about $9,000 / lot. Turns out there's major underground electrical needed to bring in new homes - that's going to increase their basis by $10,000 per lot, and that's on top of a pretty heavy cap ex budget and massive water leaks that's costing them $10K+ each month. In the end, there's probably enough upside for them to make a profit, but due diligence is key!
Hope your deals are all great and well-priced! Just some things to be aware of though.
And if it turns out that there's nothing wrong with your deal - you've just found some great deals at great prices - congrats!! (and please, share some with me in the future : )