Originally posted by @Bill S.:
@Kevin H. so something to consider. If you don't mind investing in areas of declining population there are several rural counties in Colorado that meet this. You can be closure to your properties as well. Personally I wouldn't take that route but it's something to consider. Declining areas are a definite no go for me. Finally you need to add the component of time into your evaluation. In 10 years what will you have in those declining markets vs what will you have here in Denver. IMO it's a fool that ignores the power of appreciation and rent growth. I look at it this way. If appreciation stops in Denver and we don't have any more rent growth then you are very likely to see a decline in those areas where there is no growth. Remember, if values hold steady and rent stays flat, the purchase power of that money will diminish due to inflation.
Hey Bill, sorry for the delayed response, it has been a busy couple of days around here!
I certainly agree with you about the problem of declining populations and the issues that can arise in those markets, particularly with a long term hold. That's what has scared me away from Cleveland investments thus far (and Cleveland is my birthplace -- I know that area better than most places out of state).
But, there are also out of state areas I've considered where the population is still growing. Columbus, Ohio, is an example of one of these places. I went to school at the Ohio State University in Columbus, so I know that town pretty well, too. It's no Denver in terms of growth, but it has basically gained the population that Cleveland has lost in the past twenty years.
Naturally, the easiest option from a management and knowledge basis would be to purchase right here in the Denver area (or even elsewhere along the Front Range). I guess I'd say my one hangup here comes on the accounting side of the house... In the past three years of searching, I've yet to find a place where I feel like I can make money in this town! In fairness, my searches started with a different goal originally. We initially planned to buy another house for ourselves, and rent the one we own free-and-clear. But, so far we haven't found the replacement house (while we have found bidding wars, lightning quick sales, or overpriced piles of crap).
If we find a house that meets our needs in this area to live in, our current home will provide for an easy rental, is debt-free at the moment, and would probably rent for at least $2200-2400/mo. If we don't find another home (and we haven't thus far), then I'd like to put the cash we have into other real estate investments... locally or nationally.
I know how deceiving the internet can be on real estate (or other sales items). But, I can sit here at the computer right now and run basic numbers on properties around the country that look like they should easily cash flow some decent returns. I can't seem to do that in Denver right now.
With all of that said, I'm a guy that will happily be proven wrong when being proven wrong can help my position! So, if I'm missing the forest for the trees here in D-town, I'd be happy to hear about it :)