I turned 67 earlier this month, so am way passed the 10% withdrawal penalty. I amassed quite a bit of money during my working days with 401Ks, which was created about the time I got out of school and started working. So in that way I am a big fan. But during my early 50s, I learned of RMDs, did a few calculations, and decided to decrease my contributions to match only. Today, I have a lot of traditional IRA money that is a result of those 401K contributions.
A few years later, the company added a Roth 401K and I moved my contribution to that. Stupidly, I did miss the early easy conversion window to Roth. And I missed the Dot Com and Bank Crash opportunities to convert -- take a hint, convert when it's down to get more bang for your buck.
Now to the topic above: to take the $100K or not? The Beer Virus allows you to take $100K out, hold it for 3 years and return it for NO TAX or keep it for and pay the tax, no 10% penalty. There are several types of persons, some can save and invest for tomorrow and some waste on today. If you're an investor, can pay the tax, you are at a reasonable tax rate, take the money, pay the tax, and invest it wisely. But if you plan to vacation, buy a car, a TV or whatever, leave the money alone!
Realize that non-Roth Qualified plans (traditional plans) only win if you put money in at a higher tax rate than when you take it out. If you plan to be near broke (SS and low RMDs only) when you retire, you can take the money out at very low rates, so you win. The cat-food retirement plan. Do you think that tax rate will decrease from now, from the lowest it has been in since before WWII? Or do you think it will increase? My bet is that the rates will climb to at least the pre-Trump rates after Trump. So contributing to traditions today makes very little sense - Roth good! Maybe at very high incomes it's beneficial. With normal income, converting to Roth and the above withdrawal can make sense. DO THE MATH.
Does a Roth win? Often it does. But as this is BP, consider the RE investing folks. If you make about 45% of your returns from Cap Gains, keeping fund in hand rather than in a traditional or Roth wins. IRAs do not enjoy the advantage of Cap Gain rates, it all comes back to you at income rates. Will your income put you above 15% or 20% tax rate in retirement? So first guess where rates will be, then guess your income. Do some Roth, but consider doing your RE outside IRAs.
I promise my opinion is worth what you paid for it. Remember, Grain of Salt!
Regards,
Charles LeMaire