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All Forum Posts by: Carlos Ptriawan

Carlos Ptriawan has started 84 posts and replied 7088 times.

Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @Nate Marshall:
Quote from @Dwaine Beck:

@Chris Seveney

Their notes and turnkey real estate business are separate entities. I did view their financials in January of this year they looked good to me. I'm not sure what the economic conditions are.





 Bernie Madoff's 

paperwork looked good as well.


 I would not go to any extent to call it a ponzi scheme because of a paused distribution. There are many reasons why people will pause distributions and many companies go through times where they need to do what is best. I have no data on this but I would bet most of these offerings are not scams in any way shape or form. There is also a big difference from someone who has been doing this for 20 years and someone who started during covid (btw i do not know this sponsor but have heard they have been around a very long time). lets not jump to conclusions


 in all practical matters, anyone promising s more than 13% is almost operating in practice like a ponzi.

For Lane to issue a 16% dividend, he has to increase rent by 20-25% every year. Is it possible? not possible.

And for Norada to keep giving investors 12-14% annualized, they need home appreciation to be running 18% and above. Is it possible? not possible. Either his flipper going for foreclosure, or as lender, his LTV is rising to above 100%. Do Note that even aggressive bridge lenders only promise 8% return to investors in the current environment.

Quote from @Kristi K.:
Quote from @Bruce Woodruff:

I like being able to actively influence the value of my asset..... :-)
Couldn't agree more. I got out of the stock market in 2016 (pretty much) because it killed me to see $50,000 losses in one day. Best choice I've ever made.....

 let me guess, you purchased just a single stock company isn't it ? if so, that's not investing to stock market.

Quote from @Michael P.:
Quote from @V.G Jason:

This was so obvious with their note offerings at such yields. People just keep getting tricked by the high number, go for a realistic one and be happy. 

Hope the best for the investors. 

 ^^ this ^^


 This makes me remember when Lane is offering 16% and I just laugh at the back .,,,,,,

And people complains why they lost money


Next time I can advertise I give em 18 percent becoz I have gold mine in Kenya

Quote from @Eugene L.:
Quote from @Nicholas L.:

@Michael S.

yep that's how I've thought about it so far too

individual properties: high control, lower liquidity.  buck stops with me

index funds and REITs: low control, high liquidity

syndications - ?


 Summed it up nicely Nicholas.  I'd add index funds, reits, equity markets have benefit (and overhead) of greater regulatory oversight/compliance providing some protection/assurance for shareholders.


 I also still don't get it how these so-called GPs are genius enough to constantly pay investor 16% annualized LOL i was like seriously dude ? this is almost like twilight zone level to me , but i don't know anything right lol 

am i crazy or am i an idiot i don't understand how could 2 BR simple freaking apartment could yield more than 16% cash lol anything above 15% is almost like pablo-escobar-level-of-scheme.

Quote from @Eugene L.:
Quote from @Nicholas L.:

@Michael S.

yep that's how I've thought about it so far too

individual properties: high control, lower liquidity.  buck stops with me

index funds and REITs: low control, high liquidity

syndications - ?


 Summed it up nicely Nicholas.  I'd add index funds, reits, equity markets have benefit (and overhead) of greater regulatory oversight/compliance providing some protection/assurance for shareholders.


 This!!!!!!!!!!!!


The meaning one is accredited investor is that they can accept higher risk

Quote from @Ivan Terrero:

@Giles D.

Funny, Lane just posted a video on YouTube........

Keeps looking for naive investor in YouTube is the name of the game 
Quote from @Tony Kim:
Quote from @Giles D.:

Good morning everyone,

I invested in a syndication deal back in late 2021 through Simple Passive Cashflow and Truepoint Capital, with Lane Kawaoka and Kyle Jones respectively as GP's. The deal has produced 1 single distribution in that time and now they have both stopped updating the LP's on the deal and have not had an updates this year. They have now stopped responding and corresponding to emails and the only phone numbers they provide go to a medical facility in Florida and a full VM box that never gets responded to.

Am I just f'd out of my money here with no recourse or do I have any leg to stand on to try and sue them for poor due diligence and not fulfilling the promises made? I've received 2 K1's so if this is fraud then i'd imagine they've committed a federal offence by issuing false documents to the federal authorities. Yes, I am getting desperate but I'm throwing myself to this crowd to see if any one else has gone through something similar or can give me some advice or even to laugh at me and say what an idiot I was, which I know already so save yourself the time!

Regards

Giles Dalrymple

Sorry to hear about this!

I initially learned a lot about syndications through Lane's website, so I credit him for opening my eyes to a different type of investment. But as someone who works in finance (specifically private credit), I quickly learned about how things are structured in a syndication deal as well as the risks involved. I also quickly realized that the deals Lane was involved in were not a good fit for me.

One of the most important criteria when selecting a sponsor is to ask how many real estate down cycles has the syndicator been involved in? This question eliminates probably 99% of deals I look at. I don't fault Lane for becoming a syndicator...in fact I admire him for taking the initiative and "going for gold" so to speak. If in ten years he had developed a successful track record with multiple deal exits, I would consider investing with him. But I would never invest with a sponsor who I feel I have surpassed in knowledge.


 Me as well. I was and still proud that Lane can upgrade his identity from BP single-family landlord among us into syndication. But the more he advances, the more he seems to do too much business, which is too much for his level and should only be executed by an institution with a higher risk/reward attitude.

An investment syndication that a single person is leading,  is no longer an interest to me. True, the promised return is higher but in reality, a very strong multi-billion company can do/offer the same with much less return, but with less risk as well. Lane is just growing too big and too fast. Good for him but may not be good for me or LP investors. 

If he avoids chasing deals every few months he should be okay. He should follow Burke where he stopped acquisition after 2020. 

Outside of his acquisition, there are also lot of things that's wrong in Biggerpocket in my opinion:
1. There's good and bad GP syndicator
2. Timing in the market is not important.

For number (1), debt agencies that do the due diligence process for GP syndication, only give ratings average and below average, there's only a myth that one GP would perform better than the other GP. The debt agency, however, the agency put microscopic lens to the business plan and NOI. Most of GP syndicator have received bad reviews from debt agencies, by saying their business plan doesn't make sense, and that the NOI target is off by 20-30% sometimes.

For (2), understanding the CRE/RE cycle is important; from a historical basis, there are always two mini-bullish cycles after one downturn, and one mini cycle is about 4-5 years. in 2020 we are reaching the third cycle where usually we will see more volatility and indeed it does happen. Just avoiding investing in the FOMO cycle could prevent people from losing money.

Any volatility changes in rate and lack of liquidity would wipe out the CRE equity as well, that happened globally in the world too.

Quote from @Chris Seveney:

That was a quick 180 - sponsor most likely threatened lawsuit

Curious what information was and was not inaccurate though and while someone Amy actually within their operating agreement there is typically still factual information that can be made public


 That's always the case that's why we don't talk this subject in public.

Quote from @Nicholas L.:

@Michael S.

yep that's how I've thought about it so far too

individual properties: high control, lower liquidity.  buck stops with me

index funds and REITs: low control, high liquidity

syndications - ?


 syndications: very high risk, very high leverage, extremely low liquidity, almost zero control, too long investment too, and mild return compare to ETF/debt investment.

There're two ways to make it work for syndication :
- you invest as GP (sometimes there's this thing called co-GP fund so it's less risky in theory) ; invest as senior debt or just simply invest to the lender itself, some of these bridge lender (because of the structure) would go up in value when rate go up/down because all risk has been hedged.

they make money even if the rate goes higher.

Quote from @Victor S.:
Quote from @Chris Seveney:

@Varun Hegde

He is still posting as well on BiggerPockets

where are BP moderators when you really need them? lol posting anything "political" gets you nuked, but scamming (bigly) other members is fine? and now this "get PRO" pop-up that wants me to pay to be a member on here? GTFO

Lot of biggerpocket advice doesn't make sense (always purchase home no matter the business climate, continue investing to GP syndication , always flip no matter what, buy one hundred rentals , always buy in ohio/arizona, leave california tomorrow , buy subto/wholesale ,etc ) .... but if some of us has to counter  and argue about it everyday, we would lose our energy.

Lane doesn't scam anyone. It is just I know the level of risk if any investment.