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All Forum Posts by: Bogdan Cirlig

Bogdan Cirlig has started 39 posts and replied 216 times.

Post: Critique My Deal, Using Seller Finance on This Rental

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

ok, on paper it looks good, see attached calculations I made. I put in 1000 property taxes and 600 insurance. I don't know your real numbers there. I am concerned about C class asset and the vacancy (I planned for 15% which is usually low for C class). If you PM me a property address I can give you a much better insight into it.

As for structure, buy the property and rent it back to her. Sound and clean.

Post: Deal Calculator- Rental Properties

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

BP has a very thorough one as well. Thing is, none has the needed data in it, it's pretty much BYOD (bring-your-own-data). I personally don't like to spend more than 1 minute to analyze any given deal numbers hence I use tools that bring data as well (rental, vacancies, property market value, tax info, etc). I need a fast way to scan fast through several deals and keep those worth looking further into. 

I know my target Cash-on-Cash and I start from there. What I do is plug in an address and I see a C-o-C out, if that matches my minimum, it's a keeper to look more into.

Post: Working the numbers

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

Generally true, 1.25%. zillow has property tax history by year. Faster than navigating county assessor's office. They get that from same county office too.

Post: Good Deal? Leverage? Please advise

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

Definitely not looking like a great deal. Also what asset class is it? Numbers may pan out, but it's not a desirable area etc etc. Also look at the household income for that area, compare with the rent estimate for your property, to make sure you don't have the most expensive rental on the block or the cheapest either. Also consider the Cash-on-cash, are you making more than 10%, if not, better get in the hard money lending business so to speak :). From what you said you have a very marginal +CF. that means if you have any CapEx or similar you'll jump into negative.

In addition, check pricing trend for the property value. Don't automatically assume all areas are skyrocketing. Consider the reason why the guy wants to sell also. Vacancy 13% is on the higher edge, not alarming but generally you want no more than 8%. Renter density looks nice (I prefer under 25%, again matter of taste and subjectivity).

Since you already used the website :) (thanks for that), the ROI tab shows clearly the breakdown of your ROI sources, you can bank on appreciation ROI on CF ROI etc. Generally you want the deal to CF with 20% down. Don't get tricked into thinking that it's ok to CF with 40% down :). Any deal will CF at a point if you pour enough down, but that's a mistake to think so.

Also, check the schools, that makes an area desirable. Check the type of people and how they get to their jobs. Blue collars most likely want to live near transportation hubs, white collars prefer away, quiet area etc. There are many factors to making the right purchase other than the +CF or a fat Cash ROI.

Bottom line, it appears your deal is struggling on the CF to start with, so my $0.02, move on. I don't think it will be a great deal even if you pay $140k for it. Matter of personal taste, to me, I quickly look at 1% rent to purchase price, if that doesn't pass, I'm not even considering it. Your deal should rent for $1,400/mo at 140k purchase to make it remotely interesting to me.

Post: How much to give a GC upfront?

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

Assuming you have completed reference check and they're a solid business, give them just enough cash to buy the materials (at cost) or up to 50%, pay for labor upon delivery if it's a short job less than 1 mo, or pay for labor in milestones for a longer one. 

Or, if it's a longer project split it in manageable milestones when you front the $$ for material cost and pay for labor upon milestone accomplishment. 

Post: Realtor vs Craigslist to find tenants

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

Realtor does cost you if they find a tenant. Usually 1 mo worth of rent split between the 2 brokers assuming there's a buyer's agent involved too. If you are hands off, then hire a realtor or a PM which will do same thing. Most of the time the listing agent is NOT present for every showing, they give the lockbox code out to the other agent, unless the listing agent has an open house.

Most likely that's the way it will go anyway. I can't see a listing agent showing up every 1 hour to show the property to someone else.

Tenant does NOT pay a dime to find the place, it's you who does.

You can definitely request to have final approval on pre-screened app from realtor.

If you want to save 1 mo of rent and you are close to your property, list it on zillow and craigs and batch up the showings in the evening every day. Works wonders. don't dismiss any advertising channel, they all yield good and bad prospects. You just screen them. 

Good luck!

Post: AirBnb in Non-cashflowing markets

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

The AirBNB has definitely produced a very interesting effect to increase the actual cashflow you get from your rental. Now, definitely, you have to pair up your property location with a tourist attraction/destination.

I live in San Francisco bay so Lake Tahoe area is very popular. the net effect of AirBNB is that a lot of real estate around the lake/mountains has changed hands in past years and they stay rented 20+ days per month easily. If you calculate the cashflow from that it's all of a sudden positive by a mile.

However, make sure you are closely monitoring the market trends, including AirBNB competition (check their availability calendars) and also local price trends. You're at the peak of a real estate cycle, I'd be cautious if you see crazy yearly appreciations upwards of 10% year over year for past 3-5 years.

Zilpy.com launched Mobile Deal Cashflow and ROI Analysis tools to help you analyze your investment in less than 30 seconds on the go on your smartphone. The rental data and vacancy info is already pre-filled from Zilpy Rent report. Play "what-if" scenarios and see the numbers changing in real-time.

Get your first reports free and lifetime savings with this special url: zlp.re/x2248

That is in addition to the comprehensive Rent estimates that uses not only the number of bedrooms, but also Property type, Baths and SQFT plus crime rate, school ratings and demographics to identify similar neighborhood comparable properties.

See up to the minute comparable properties as soon as they appear on the market, from all syndicated sources covering 98.5% of the US population.

Save hours of scouring on Craigslist, Zillow and other listing sites, we already do all that for you. We're crunching an average of 15 rental listings and updates each second, around the clock. That's over 1 million per day!

Find out why professional Appraisers and RE Agents use Zilpy.com to estimate the Cash-flow of an investment. Get your FREE Zilpy Rent & Neighborhood Crime Report now at Zilpy.com today!

Post: Apple Watch

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89

If I buy the $10,000 Apple Watch, would it buy me more time?

Post: Rental not renting

Bogdan CirligPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Los Gatos, CA
  • Posts 226
  • Votes 89
Originally posted by @Jon Adams:
Originally posted by @Bogdan Cirlig:

Different angle:

You have 49% renters in there, that is, you will have landlord competition for vacancies at any given time. The overall vacancy rate is not atrocious, 11% which tells you they rent fast for right price.

...

 Thanks for the input.  How did you find out all of this information about my area?  I think it is great!!!  As for the pictures you are right i took them with my Blackberry which as you can tell is not very good.  I will stop down tomorrow and retake the pictures.  Thanks again!

 Hah.. I have a crystal ball :). j/k, follow the white rabbit down my signature line...