@Brandon Duff
Hi Brandyn. I think it's fair to say that the 50% rule is a function of your expenses of your investments over time, the size of the property and the condition of each individual property. The rule is there as a guideline. With older and larger complexes your expenses will most likely be 50-60% of your Gross Effective Income. If you're buying something smaller and newer these percentages might be much lower. On duplexes to ~20 units I have found the expenses to be about 35-40%. I'd still steer clear of anything that that has expenses as 34 or fewer percentage points on 2-20 units.
I imagine from your mortgage assumptions you've supplied that you're looking to go conventional. I'd say that your rate would probably be closer to 5.25-5.5%. At 5 units and not 4 or fewer many conventional banks might not be interested. They usually like 4 or fewer or really large deals. You might get lucky though. At 5.25% you're looking at payments of $790.76. Your PMI is part of your mortgage not your expenses. Property tax is part of your expenses.
It looks to me in a best case scenario you're looking at $49.35/door. This of course is completely ignoring economic vacancy and bad debt which should be tabulated at a minimum of 5% maybe more depending on your market. This is deducted from you gross scheduled income. So (2075*.95)=1971.25. This changes your number to $38.97/door.
Anything that has to do with rehab out of the state I'd check in with J Scott. I am amazing ignorant in that area and would just lead you astray with speculation.
Some people use rentometer to find out what rents are or call local realtors. I prefer the old fashioned way. I make a spreadsheet and call up the competitors in the market. Let them know what you're doing and offer to share information if they cooperate. Ask if they are having any move-in specials to quantify the supply/demand in the market. Who knows, maybe you'll get a lead on another property as a bonus.
When dealing with multi-family you really need to have an excellent handle on what current rents are like and what direction the market is heading. These factors are paramount when determining the valuation and viability of an instrument.
Your CCR would be about 4% based off of what I tabulated. Not something to get excited about. I think as you develop more experience it might be ok to base your decision on a pro forma (in this case buying 20% less than asking price) if you really know that market. Since you are out of state, don't know the market and it's your first deal I'd not consider that at all in my decision to more forward or not. Base it on what you can verify and the worst case scenario. Making assumptions that are rosy will get you separated from your cash quickly. Be more conservative. You'll pass up a lot more deals but you will mitigate damage should you find yourself in a storm when you finally do buy.