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All Forum Posts by: Trevor Ewen

Trevor Ewen has started 68 posts and replied 1236 times.

Post: Simple easy to use project management software

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Dennis S. Gelbart

I use Trello to manage some fairly complex projects, and I still think it's incredibly easy to setup. For instance, even if I clean my house for a Saturday afternoon, I will setup a Trello board.

Post: New York is too expensive and l'm looking at other states

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Gregory Craig

If you're relatively open-minded on where to go, then there is a lot to like about Tennessee, Kentucky, Indiana, and Arkansas. Great states. All are landlord friendly, low-tax options. Each has 1-2 anchor cities as well.

Post: Investing from Abroad

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@David Garcia

I support the advice on syndications that you have received here. I would recommend talking to @Evan Loader, as he is someone that has pursued this strategy from a distance.

Post: What are you buying right now?

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Tony P.

With the bad news out of Saudi Arabia, oil and energy related equities are very cheap.

It'll be a rocky ride, and I would expect a quick turnaround, but it's an essential global commodity no matter what happens in the short-term.

Post: Viz Alert - Slowing Population Growth of the United States

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Nirav Shah

Demographic decline is already (and will continue to be) the biggest economic trend for the entirety of our lifetime. This is a huge problem. It's already affecting Europe and Japan more acutely than the US, but we are on our way. Several risks / trends that are associated with this:

1) State pension (budget) crises. Warren Buffet has already called it.
2) Slowing productivity growth.
3) Labor shortages in elderly regions. Particularly rural areas and small towns.
4) Political stagnation: Institutions are increasingly interested in a nostalgic view of the economy / regulation / solutions.

Investors (in most cases) should not be activists. We look out at the world and respond to the world we receive. I have a lot of ideas about pro-growth policies that the US and other developed nations need to take, but the question here is how we respond. Some ideas:

1) Even reasonable population growth is promising, but I would be careful about places that have shown a slowdown. There is likely a mix of demographic and cost / growth problems going on.
2) Be very careful about regulation (particularly in zoning). Status quo (nostalgic) politics loves regulation. 
3) Be very careful about investing heavily in states with huge liabilities. The taxes are heading up. I am from Illinois, originally, this is very personal.
4) A labor shortage could be an opportunity, but only if the local business leaders and politicians have a plan. What they are doing in Tulsa seems promising from a long-term perspective. This is not the norm.

Post: Mentorship exchange for automation

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Ethan Williams

There is a lot to like about the Tennessee market, although Nashville has started to behave more like a coastal market.

Denver, Seattle, and Portland are much tougher. They are great places to live. If you go there, I would consider focusing on a passive strategy. Wholesaling takes a lot of work, you need to be dedicated. The best people do well, but they are in it 100%. I do think that tech people have a higher opportunity cost regarding our time, so we tend to gravitate toward passive strategies.

Post: What Will You Be Doing if the Market Crashes?

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Timothy Hero

When the music stops, the investor with cash is able to buy at a discount. This is one of the primary advantages of some slight diversification in your portfolio. I always own a smaller percentage of counter-cyclical investments (bonds & precious metals, mostly). The rationale for that is precisely so I can sell those into a bad market and achieve some liquidity. Then you buy at a discount, and repeat. The income on bonds is poor and precious metals, nonexistent. But, at a critical moment, it's very nice to have protective assets that are going up in value and sell them off while everyone else is panicking.

I do think rental investors need to check their assumptions about the markets. If you are renting out amenity-rich condos (as an extreme example), get ready for tenants to downgrade in a recession. This is why class B- & C workforce housing is good from a cyclicality perspective. It's simple, and not super far from the floor in terms of what a home can rent for.

Local work markets are probably the biggest risk. Major employer shuts down and the whole game changes, even (and maybe especially) for people with workforce housing. An important hedge (but probably a decision that we all should have made years ago) is to go to markets with some employer diversity.

Beyond that, make sure you're not over-leveraged and hanging by a thread. You need to have enough cash to weather a few rough months if some re-positioning is necessary. There is nothing better for a buyer (like me) than a seller with few options and a sense of urgency. For your sake, don't be that seller.

Post: Individual Syndications v. Funds

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Christopher Nemlich

As with almost any question on the forum, it depends on your goals.

From an educational perspective, I find individual deals to be a better option. You evaluate the specific property on its merits and you are forced to live with that through the life of the investment. This will better develop your understanding of the market and what it takes to succeed (or fail) in different asset classes.

With a fund, it's much easier for the GPs to pivot and change course. Also, they can float the poor performers with short-term cash injections or other good performers. This diversification is obviously the advantage of the fund. But given the lower transparency, you'll learn less about what actually works and how you can improve your due diligence process in the future.

I would have to trust a fund manager more than I would have to trust someone who runs a single deal. The main thing I would have to know is that they are dedicated and stick to a strategy. I don't want to invest with someone who will panic and undo the strategy because of short-term issues. Individual deals (by nature) force strategy discipline.

Post: OFF-MARKET Listing Platforms

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Alex Ramirez

Mailchimp is a very strong platform for building lists and campaigns. If you are very diligent, you can add a lot of metadata to the people on your list and target your campaigns accordingly.

Post: Mentorship exchange for automation

Trevor EwenPosted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Weehawken, NJ
  • Posts 1,270
  • Votes 704

@Ethan Williams

Welcome. Always good to see tech folks make their way over here.

In order to start getting connected with folks, it may be good to get an idea of where you're based (or planning to go)? Also, what aspect of real estate investing do you find compelling? That will help to pull people out of the woodwork.