Hi @Chris Lindemann,
Welcome to the BiggerPockets community! Your situation sounds like a classic investor's dilemma, and it's great that you're considering all angles before making a move.
First off, it's worth considering what the "rip cord" would be for your investment—essentially, what's your financial breaking point where you need to make a decisive move to avoid further losses? Given that you've been carrying the property without a tenant for four months, you're already feeling the strain, so let's break it down:
Long Term Rental vs. Short Term Rental
Long Term Rentals: They offer stable and predictable income once a tenant is in place and generally appreciate over time, adding to your equity. They also require less day-to-day management. However, the current vacancy is hurting your cash flow, the paused refinance poses challenges, and ongoing capital expenditures can be significant.
Short Term Rentals: These can generate higher monthly income and offer flexibility to adjust rental rates based on market demand. They align with your long term goals and can potentially accelerate your investment strategy. On the flip side, income can be less predictable due to seasonal fluctuations, they require more intensive management, and are subject to varying regulations.
Key Considerations:
- Financial "Rip Cord": Determine your financial threshold for continuing to float the property without a tenant. How long can you sustain this before it severely impacts your finances?
- Market Analysis: Conduct a detailed market analysis for both long term and short term rental markets in your target areas. Are there strong indicators for occupancy and rental rates?
- Property Condition: Consider any repairs or updates needed for either scenario. Short term rentals typically need to be furnished and maintained at a higher standard.
- Tax Implications: Understand the tax benefits and implications of both strategies. Short term rentals might offer different deductions compared to long term rentals.
- Risk Tolerance: Assess your risk tolerance. Short term rentals can be lucrative but come with higher variability and management needs.
My Take:
It might be beneficial to consider a mixed approach—drop the rent slightly under market value to secure a tenant and stabilize your cash flow, while simultaneously exploring the short term rental market. This way, you don't rush into selling a property that still holds potential and you can gauge the viability of short term rentals without fully committing yet.
Additionally, talk to a few local property managers or even consider different marketing strategies to attract tenants. Sometimes a fresh approach or minor property improvements can make a significant difference in securing a tenant.
Ultimately, aligning your strategy with your long term goals while managing current cash flow is key. If short term rentals are truly where you see your future, making a calculated shift might be the right move, but ensure you're not jeopardizing your financial stability in the process.
Hope this helps!
Cheers,