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All Forum Posts by: Robert Rixer

Robert Rixer has started 6 posts and replied 266 times.

Quote from @Jordan Moorhead:

@Robert Rixer what worries me about MSP is rent control, unfriendly business policies and no real large corporate growth. All of their fortune 500 companies seem to have business models that will have trouble sustaining any real growth against new tech. I'm very cautious against states with unfriendly landlord laws.


Yes very fair point. As much as I hate it, the answer could really boil down to politics. Who is going to be in charge at the state and local level and how do they compare to competitor markets.

Quote from @Joshua Christensen:

Robert, this is a great question.  It's is incomplete as we don't know what type of appreciation you are looking for.  Every market has opportunity in the right places with the right deals.

1-4 units follow the market appreciation through sales comps

5+ units you start getting into forced appreciation through NOI approach.

In either case, I'd be looking at markets with a growing population (demand), a shortage of inventory (supply), and a market that has a net positive importing of jobs with wage growth.

As the Fed's a poised to make some moves with interest rates later this year, the question still remains to be seen what they will do with their QE/QT policy on their balance sheet as that will affect long term 1-4 unit rates.  Commercial rates will follow as they lower their overnight rates as SOFR usually tends to follow.  We're already starting see more of the sideline private equity entering the market again which will help rates.

To pick the right market, you need clarity on your strategy. Value Add, Yield, BRRRR, STR, LTR...Every market has something to offer if you look. This question is a bit broad in scope. IMO.

My friend, you're overthinking it. Which market is going to be highest in value in 5 years compared to its value today? That's all I'm asking

As I'm only truly exposed to my local market, I'm curious what people think is the most undervalued major market at the moment compared to 5 years from now and WHY. 

Keep it to the top 30 major metro markets (Austin is 30th, so nothing smaller), here is the full list. https://www.thoughtco.com/largest-metropolitan-areas-1435135. Providing BP doesn't go out of business, it will be interesting to look back on this in 2029 and see who was right/closest.

Personally, I think it's easy to go with Florida or Texas city, but they appear to already have a lot of the near term appreciation built in to today's prices. I'm going to go with a dark horse and say Minneapolis-St Paul. My reasoning is Midwest cities are often overlooked, downtown hasn't fully recovered from 2020 yet and it quietly has a lot of new construction, expanding suburbs and has major corporate headquarters (Target, Best Buy, 3M).


P.S. I'm a cash-flow investor not a speculator so this is purely academic

Insurance varies wildly, especially the past year the industry has been crazy and a very tough market especially for lower end properties and in states such as CA and FL. Best to talk to someone local rather than a national forum.

Post: Building a team in central florida

Robert RixerPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 215

Focus on deal finding. Great you have 1 good agent - now try to find more and simultaneously develop other strategies to find deals off-market. You will get a lot of reps in, build experience and local knowledge and capital and everything else will fall into place a lot easier if you are able to consistently find good deals.

Post: How to underwrite core deals in this environment

Robert RixerPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 215

Rent growth also outpaced expense growth in many markets the previous few years so you could see it as a re-balancing. These are all broad trends however, there is nothing to say you can find a one-off deal in any market environment that pencils out.

Post: Michael Blank Mentoring?

Robert RixerPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 215

Don't do it. A true mentor should have your best interests at heart. Ripping you off how ever many thousands of dollars when the thing you need most at the start is capital, is completely misaligned. I await the day for a guru who gives their 'mentorship' away for free and only collects on successful investments their mentee makes in the future. Not holding my breath.

Curious, what kinds of entry cap rates are you looking at in places like Huntsville, Atlanta and the Carolinas?

Condo deals are rarely ever good. The probability of getting an efficient, well run HOA has got to be <10%. Times this by 15 different buildings and you're going to get shredded by at least a handful of them. Usually in the form of special assessments or ever rising dues/property taxes.

Post: Should I sell?

Robert RixerPosted
  • Investor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 215

People very rarely regret holding long term. It may not be how you planned it, but you won't regret it.