Skip to content
×
Pro Members Get
Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
ANNUAL Save 54%
$32.50 /mo
$390 billed annualy
MONTHLY
$69 /mo
billed monthly
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
×
Try Pro Features for Free
Start your 7 day free trial. Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties.
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Keith Goodwine

Keith Goodwine has started 5 posts and replied 80 times.

Post: Finding code violations in walkthrough

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137

I might pass on this one then.  If they had more equity to work with, I think I would have more flexibility in the deal.  I was hoping there would be another solution out there, but maybe not?

Post: Finding code violations in walkthrough

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137

Hi all!  I walked through a house yesterday, and talked with some very interested sellers.  They would like to move quickly from their larger house to a smaller house, and are willing to negotiate.  I think we're going to be able to strike an agreement to buy in as-is condition.

This is my first potential deal, and I wanted to educate myself a little bit on what to do with code violations.

The house has had many self-done add-ons by multiple owners since its original construction. During the walk-through, I found several undisclosed code violations.   Most of the house does not have a crawl space.  The sewer drain pipe from the washer runs outside the home, and connects around to another point under the house, due to the lack of crawl space.  There is an undisclosed bedroom as well when compared to the tax records - records show three, they currently have four, and there are a couple other rooms which could be used as bedrooms as well.  The roof was apparently three months old, but looked very poorly constructed.  The current owners started to add a garage, but it does not look structurally sound.  I'm sure an official home inspection will turn up more issues, but those were the largest structural things I could find.  (Many other cosmetic issues exist, but I consider those normal.)

What should I tell them when I come back with repair estimates and offers?  A code violation requires disclosure and seller credits to mend when selling with a realtor correct?

Also, compared to their mortgage balance, I'm not sure an offer can be accepted here.  Even a lease option would require the end buyer to do some significant updates and repairs to be able to rent out the home.  Are there any other creative solutions?

Thanks!

Post: Housing Bubble Chat

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137
Originally posted by @Chris May:
Originally posted by @Keith Goodwine:
Originally posted by @Jon Q.:

There is no "bubble", it's called the real estate market cycle.  And most residential markets throughout the country recently peaked in late 2015.

 It's an excellent format for a model.  But I have to wonder about the data analysis, if literally every major city in the country is between 11-13.  Either outliers are skewing every city towards the middle, or there was too much averaging to meaningfully separate the data points.  Also Nashville moved from 14 in 2015 to 13 in 2016, when the life cycle suggests the natural movement should be from left to right only.

Just some thoughts from an armchair MBA data analyst :)

 I also found it interesting that the analysis for 1Q15 says hypersupply will occur in 2Q15 or 3Q15... But then in 1Q16 San Fransisco is supposedly still at the same point in the cycle.

I dunno, it aligns somewhat with what I'm seeing in the real world but I take all analysis like this with a grain of salt.

I also think it's a little silly to say there aren't ever bubbles. It's semantics. What was 2008 then? Just a normal business cycle? Seems odd to dismiss the idea so absolutely.

 I feel the assessment of Nashville specifically is bear-ish.  There are TONS of people moving here (85 people a day by some estimates), and while rent prices are higher than they've ever been before, the market is also consuming those higher rent prices.  New construction is going up everywhere, and the new builds are being filled.

I also don't dismiss the idea of a bubble, nor do I dismiss the idea that we could be heading towards a pop.  Those investing and buying new builds are going to feel the majority of the effects.  That includes consumer mortgage buyers as well.

Post: Housing Bubble Chat

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137
Originally posted by @Jon Q.:

There is no "bubble", it's called the real estate market cycle.  And most residential markets throughout the country recently peaked in late 2015.

 It's an excellent format for a model.  But I have to wonder about the data analysis, if literally every major city in the country is between 11-13.  Either outliers are skewing every city towards the middle, or there was too much averaging to meaningfully separate the data points.  Also Nashville moved from 14 in 2015 to 13 in 2016, when the life cycle suggests the natural movement should be from left to right only.

Just some thoughts from an armchair MBA data analyst :)

Post: Housing Bubble Chat

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137
Originally posted by @Chris May:
Originally posted by @Jon Q.:

There is no "bubble", it's called the real estate market cycle.  And most residential markets throughout the country recently peaked in late 2015.

 I've seen you post this chart before. Can you elaborate on it a little? Where did the data come from? What is it showing?

 I was curious too.  Here's the answer:  http://info.dividendcapital.com/rs/dividendcapital/images/Cycle_Monitor_15Q1_FINAL.pdf

Post: How to Find Wholesalers

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137

Facebook groups for Real Estate Investing are a great source as well.  You can't throw a rock without hitting a wholesaler :)

Post: Rough Start

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137
Originally posted by @Thomas S.:

It is surprising to me how so many new investors find it to be difficult to get started. My surprise comes from the fact that the statement implies that they thought it would be easy. Nothing of value in life is cheap or easy and that is the true dividing factor in building wealth. Those that are prepared to work hard at building wealth are the only ones that will stay at it and hopefully succeed.

There should also be no tolerance in your investing for mistakes. The key is to benefit from other investors mistakes by devouring every snippet of information provided on forums such as this. Every mistake possible has been made and documented here so that no new investor need repeat those mistakes.

If you are making mistakes you are not ready to invest and need to spend more time studying.

 I would agree with you that many investors are surprised in the difficulty level in getting started.  I'm in the same boat myself.  

Many things can be learned from others, by taking classes, watching videos, coming to forums like this.  But the most valuable lessons are going to be the ones learned actually doing the activity, particularly the lessons learned by mistakes.

The only way to never make a mistake is to never try at all.  I can read and watch videos all day to learn more about real estate investing, so that I prevent myself from making any mistake ever, but that doesn't mean I'm doing anything.   If I keep waiting to learn the perfect way to do everything, that's time wasted not sending out mailers, not driving for dollars, not bringing in prospects, not qualifying leads, not getting houses on contract, and not closing deals.

Would you tell a child they cannot walk if they fell over the first time?  Surely not!  Would you tell them to read a book until they come back ready to walk without making a mistake?  Of course not!  You'd allow them to try and try and try again until they got it.  The child sees other people walking, and wants to walk just like everyone else.  They don't stop trying until they can walk just like everyone else.  That's the level of dedication it takes.

Originally posted by @Michael Burdi:

 @Keith Goodwine, I didn't tack much profit for myself on from the get-go just so I didn't waste time moving it. This was my first contract on a property. It's funny; I think I'm one of two Indianapolis RE FB page owners. I could only be out in Indy for a couple days if I had to fly there because I work a full-time job in SoCal. It's been over a month now. I scheduled my closing date at the end of the month and don't have a buyer. I might just get to close and default on contract. That's the worst that could happen now, I guess. 

 You might have put it under contract too high, yeah.  It's an honest mistake that almost everyone has made at some point.  But fret not - if you make mistakes, it is proof you are trying!

Have you communicated with the sellers much?  Proactive communication will be much more comforting to them than reactive.  You might even have a chance to re-contract at a lower price if you have a good relationship with them.  Realtors do this all the time - if the house doesn't sell, they drop the price until it does.  Discuss the offers you've received, the price you'd need to drop it to, and re-emphasize how quickly you can close if you drop the price.  

"I have X interested buyers if we drop the sale price down to $18x,xxx  We can close in a week.  You need the cash quickly, and I'm dedicated to making that happen.  But it won't happen unless we come down on price.  I'll send you the new contract so we can get moving today."

Post: Housing Bubble Chat

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137
Originally posted by @Ben McMahon:

Hey all, happy to say my two cents.  Great topic, and one that is always on my mind.

I might challenge one of the original points,  Namely that interest rates aren't going anywhere.  I think a lot depends on the election and whether Trump is in office or not.  Not to go political, but it is a political issue.  What happens if he lets interest rates self correct?

I think a lot also depends on what the stock market is up to.  If people are afraid to put their money in stocks, than real estate is the first place they turn.  We can see that happening right now.

If we are in the game for the long haul, it makes sense to mitigate risk by investing in cashflow properties.  Also makes sense to work in markets the have the upside of appreciation that some of the more rural areas might not have.  Its a lot easier to sleep at night knowing that if the market took a dump, my properties will probably only increase in cashflow regardless of the valuation.  

The questions of Inflation and Deflation seem obvious to me.  Again it comes back to the long game, is your dollar worth more today than 50 years ago?  I don't see that changing.  

 The Fed has much more influence on interest rates than any president does.  I imagine they will act in their own self-interest, no matter the circumstances.

Post: Driving for Dollars Strategy

Keith GoodwinePosted
  • Nashville, TN
  • Posts 82
  • Votes 137
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

@Keith Goodwine Transnational funding will cost you, 2% and the end buyer must have 100% of the purchase price in escrow, and you cannot use the end buyer's funds to close the A to B transaction.

 I just learned that today actually.  Thanks to you and the other BP post I read.  The "gurus" and their expensive training programs failed to mention such important information...