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All Forum Posts by: Jay Hinrichs

Jay Hinrichs has started 324 posts and replied 41354 times.

Post: seeking private lending and hard money lending

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Justin Mumm:

thanks for getting back to me.  i have ave credit but not a down payment.  i am looking for a lender that looks at what the property is worth more than the downpayment amount.  


very rare these days to be able to get a loan one off with NONE of your own cash I think your wasting your time at the moment.. I think personally your time would be better spent finding a CASH partner once you have the cash down the loan will be quite easy.. 

Post: Massive inventory boom in Southwest Florida's housing market raises questions

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Mike Anderson:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Mike Anderson:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Mike Anderson:

My wife and I have been looking in this market. Had a long conversation about this with a couple buddies last night actually.

I have to assume that market (and I am including Fort Myers) is a heavy second home market. Maybe more so than most other markets, which is what we are looking at it for as a second home to have to get out of the mountains where we live and enjoy the beach and more amenities of a larger city.

We aren't as concerned with rates as we are cash buyers but the carry cost with HOA's due's, taxes, and the other items are just too high to justify. With the boomers getting older and them being so large in terms of sheer size I have to wonder how many people in 5 to 10 years will be willing to float 1k+ HOA fees.Are there enough to backfill into these places and keep the HOA's solvent? Once the amount of snowbirds and retirees starts dropping, I have to assume when the younger generations who are stilling working receive some of these in the estate if they sell because the carry costs are so high because its not worth keeping to spend a week or two there even without a mortgage. The younger generations seem to really enjoy traveling but they like going to different places and not commit to just one place. There are exceptions to all of these thoughts of course but I think we might be looking at a really bumpy road in these markets if we can't figure out how to get these costs down.

I'm just not convinced that enough people will be willing long term to pay these high HOA fee's, insurance costs, and property taxes for a second home. It's going to interesting, I welcome all thoughts and opinions on this.


I dont think a lot of the SFRs that have been built in the 3000 to 400k range have those kind of HOA's I think maybe your talking about a condo.. and those are legit concerns for FLA condos

Condo or townhouse. 

I have a townhouse in Vegas its 450 a month.. Just fyi.. so your probably right on the money factoring in 450 to 1k a month.. our rate has not gone up in the 7 years I have own it. Although the development does not have any real amenities  just a crappy little pool we never use. but nicely located and its gated which in my mind in Vegas  is pretty much a necessity.  U could for sure buy something out in Lehigh acres for probably  steal and those are large lots that you could park your RV no problem. Not sure you want to live there though :)  

RV resorts are pretty cool I have tracked a few over the years thinking about developing one myself.. never got to it.. But I have seen a few really nice ones..  One in Bend Or and other up on Flathead lake in Montana.. I suspect the RV lots sell pretty much north of 100k each and have a real sense of community when the owners pull in and stay for a while.  ANything like that in your neck of the woods ?  Or do everyone just buy cabins and go to the local KOA for their RV needs ?

I've seen as high as 2200$ to 2300$ HOA a month. I have no idea how that will hold up. Not like super high end either in the 300-500k condo...

The issue with RV lots right now is people are asking more for one that you can get a townhouse or condo for. With HOA's around 1000-1200 a quarter and they don't even mow any grass on your lot or anything so it seems odd. I've looked at the ones in Gulf Waters down in fort myers they seem nice but not worth the cost in my opinion. Yes tons this way in my neck of the woods you can buy the lot and own it, and either rent it or live on it.


2k plus a month HOA is for sure a non starter for me as well.. when I lived at Silverado CC in Napa Valley..  our hoa for our neigbhorhood was about 200 a month that was in the 90s and that included all exterior yard work and water bill  tennis court and pool.. then as members of the CC club that was another 400 a month or so.. but that incuded two Robert Trent Jones golf courses  the club house  SPA with work out faciities and lap pool.. 27 tennis courts.. special dinning nights with 1/2 off etc etc.. For the 10 years I lived there is was worth every penny. 

Post: Massive inventory boom in Southwest Florida's housing market raises questions

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Mike Anderson:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Mike Anderson:

My wife and I have been looking in this market. Had a long conversation about this with a couple buddies last night actually.

I have to assume that market (and I am including Fort Myers) is a heavy second home market. Maybe more so than most other markets, which is what we are looking at it for as a second home to have to get out of the mountains where we live and enjoy the beach and more amenities of a larger city.

We aren't as concerned with rates as we are cash buyers but the carry cost with HOA's due's, taxes, and the other items are just too high to justify. With the boomers getting older and them being so large in terms of sheer size I have to wonder how many people in 5 to 10 years will be willing to float 1k+ HOA fees.Are there enough to backfill into these places and keep the HOA's solvent? Once the amount of snowbirds and retirees starts dropping, I have to assume when the younger generations who are stilling working receive some of these in the estate if they sell because the carry costs are so high because its not worth keeping to spend a week or two there even without a mortgage. The younger generations seem to really enjoy traveling but they like going to different places and not commit to just one place. There are exceptions to all of these thoughts of course but I think we might be looking at a really bumpy road in these markets if we can't figure out how to get these costs down.

I'm just not convinced that enough people will be willing long term to pay these high HOA fee's, insurance costs, and property taxes for a second home. It's going to interesting, I welcome all thoughts and opinions on this.


I dont think a lot of the SFRs that have been built in the 3000 to 400k range have those kind of HOA's I think maybe your talking about a condo.. and those are legit concerns for FLA condos

Condo or townhouse. 

I have a townhouse in Vegas its 450 a month.. Just fyi.. so your probably right on the money factoring in 450 to 1k a month.. our rate has not gone up in the 7 years I have own it. Although the development does not have any real amenities  just a crappy little pool we never use. but nicely located and its gated which in my mind in Vegas  is pretty much a necessity.  U could for sure buy something out in Lehigh acres for probably  steal and those are large lots that you could park your RV no problem. Not sure you want to live there though :)  

RV resorts are pretty cool I have tracked a few over the years thinking about developing one myself.. never got to it.. But I have seen a few really nice ones..  One in Bend Or and other up on Flathead lake in Montana.. I suspect the RV lots sell pretty much north of 100k each and have a real sense of community when the owners pull in and stay for a while.  ANything like that in your neck of the woods ?  Or do everyone just buy cabins and go to the local KOA for their RV needs ?

Post: At what point does a house's appreciation slow down?

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Marcus Auerbach:

There is no universal answer on appreciation vs age. Home values go up with inflation plus any extra demand for an area. 

The importance is square footage is often underestimated. 

That brings you to cost per square foot as a metric - sometimes buying a larger home in a A+ area and remodeling it completely is a very good way to force appreciation.


having lived in Palo Alto for years and being rasied in Cupertino.. which values track Irvine. the value is in the LAND not the house.. 70 year old homes in Palo alto sell for 2 to 3 million and are then torn down for a new build.  Its location location location large lot that allows a mcmansion new build in my mind is were the appreciation value will be.. U could easily see the older home on large lot have a residual land value of 4 mil in 20 years.. 

this is happening NOW in Lake Oswego Or were I live currently.. old homes on big lots get sold for 500 to 700k and are torn down.. those houses 15 years ago sold for 200 to 300k .. My current home I did that.. I paid 300k for a tear down in 2008  ( bad timing LOL) tore it down but could not build because the market went to crap.  But hung on built in 2013 at a cost of about 450k which was 120 a foot.  So in it 750k and its doubled in value since 2013. But if I just had the land and never built it would be worth 600 to 700k as well. 

thats the play with high cost CA OR WA real estate in my mind.. the lack of land and the middle housing push all cities are doing now for tiny lots and high density is going to put a real premium on lots that you can build a larger mcmansion.   Just my opinion of course for whatever its worth :)

Post: Massive inventory boom in Southwest Florida's housing market raises questions

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Andres Montbrun:

It's wild how much inventory has spiked in Florida—definitely shifts the power toward buyers. I mean, a 7% mortgage rate might sound steep compared to the lows we just saw, but if you really dig into history, rates were north of 18% back in the early '80s. So while today's environment feels tough, it's actually not as crazy as it might seem in a broader context.

That said, the sheer volume of homes on the market is really pushing sellers to negotiate hard, which could mean some great deals for those who know how to play it. Personally, I think this is a golden moment for buyers to re-evaluate what they're willing to pay, while sellers might need to adjust their expectations.

I'm curious—how are you all factoring this historical perspective into your current strategies?


in my mind the investor with max leverage and a vacant house or not performing well will lose all thier equity on a sale.. I think values in those will drop to the point that the owners dont have to write a check to sell Like what happened to many of us in 08 to 2011. so to me thats the delta to play with when looking to buy.. first see how much is owed deduct sales cost come up with the true cash equity and offer the amount that gets them out of the loan and maybe a few grand of their equity.. Now some folks it could be phantom equity you know forced appreciation others it will be true cash equity they lose.. the phantom folks will be more motivated as they never truly have the equity anyway. the ones with actual cash into the deals will be a harder nut to crack.

Post: Massive inventory boom in Southwest Florida's housing market raises questions

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Mike Anderson:

My wife and I have been looking in this market. Had a long conversation about this with a couple buddies last night actually.

I have to assume that market (and I am including Fort Myers) is a heavy second home market. Maybe more so than most other markets, which is what we are looking at it for as a second home to have to get out of the mountains where we live and enjoy the beach and more amenities of a larger city.

We aren't as concerned with rates as we are cash buyers but the carry cost with HOA's due's, taxes, and the other items are just too high to justify. With the boomers getting older and them being so large in terms of sheer size I have to wonder how many people in 5 to 10 years will be willing to float 1k+ HOA fees.Are there enough to backfill into these places and keep the HOA's solvent? Once the amount of snowbirds and retirees starts dropping, I have to assume when the younger generations who are stilling working receive some of these in the estate if they sell because the carry costs are so high because its not worth keeping to spend a week or two there even without a mortgage. The younger generations seem to really enjoy traveling but they like going to different places and not commit to just one place. There are exceptions to all of these thoughts of course but I think we might be looking at a really bumpy road in these markets if we can't figure out how to get these costs down.

I'm just not convinced that enough people will be willing long term to pay these high HOA fee's, insurance costs, and property taxes for a second home. It's going to interesting, I welcome all thoughts and opinions on this.


I dont think a lot of the SFRs that have been built in the 3000 to 400k range have those kind of HOA's I think maybe your talking about a condo.. and those are legit concerns for FLA condos

Post: Massive inventory boom in Southwest Florida's housing market raises questions

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654

PS good time to be an agent.. you get paid no matter what the home sells  for.

although it can be touch with so much inventory motivated buyers to actually make an offer.

Post: Massive inventory boom in Southwest Florida's housing market raises questions

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @Adam Bartomeo:

Check out our interview with Fox 4 by clicking the link or read it some of it below.

SOUTHWEST FLORIDA — How many single-family homes do you think are on the market in Lee and Collier counties as of January? Remember that number, because the answer is probably going to shock you.

In Cape Coral alone, there's a good chance you've seen a home on sale no matter what road you go down. Fox 4 Senior Reporter Kaitlin Knapp went to Adam Bartomeo, owner of Bartomeo Realty, to validate what seems to be a housing boom.

"Now we have the highest inventory we ever had in Southwest Florida," Bartomeo said.

Bartomeo explained to Knapp why we're seeing a huge spike in inventory:

"My opinion is that the sediment of folks was 'hey, Trump's going to come in and houses are going to sell like crazy,' so there was an influx of inventory," Bartomeo explained.

He also says many remote workers are going back to the office, which may not be in Florida.

So because of these reasons, how many homes do you think are on sale in Lee and Collier counties as of January?

"12,000 homes for sale," Bartomeo said.

That's just single-family homes! He says condos are through the roof, too.

Adding to that number is what Bartomeo calls a "shadow home." It's a partially built home that went under contract, but the builders ran out of money.

"So now, these houses are starting to come to market," he said. "I think what has happened is they spent a lot of money on other things to keep the business running."

Bartomeo believes the high inventory might stay that way for a while. Data from the Southwest Florida MLS shows there's enough inventory to last 10 to 11 months, and that's if no other homes are listed.

"Buyers are not in a rush," Bartomeo said.

This has a big domino effect. Homes are staying on the market for about 60 days, which has some people rethinking selling.

"My number one customer is I can't sell my home, can you please make it a rental?" Bartomeo said.

That, coupled with more apartment complexes going up, means the inventory is even higher. Bartomeo says that will impact how much you pay.

"Until we get through some of this inventory, I'm foreseeing that we're going to be decreasing in both rental prices and single family home sales until about the end of the year," he explained.

It's not good news for sellers. Bartomeo says there's a lot more people that are willing to negotiate anything, such as closing costs.

On the flip side, he says it's fantastic to buy homes.

There's a lot to choose from, but there's a catch.

"Interest rates do have to come down, because that prices are still too high," Bartomeo said.

So if you're a seller, Bartomeo suggests to hold on to the property if you can. If not, he says to make the house as nice as possible or stage it.

We've been in an unstable market for a while — really since the pandemic.

Knapp asked Bartomeo how do we level out the market.

"So the first thing that has to happen is they have to stop building," he replied. "Once the building gets done, then those houses will be eaten up by all the people that are actually moving down here and that will correct the market in that way."

Bartomeo says we will get a better idea of where our market is headed after tourism season, because that's when people tend to buy.


 Curious what all the people who say there is a housing shortage in this country are saying? 

It will be interesting to see how far this drops in these areas and if it causes other surrounding areas or other areas of FL to be effected.


wont be as bad as 08 to 2011 with all the liar loans.. but I can see some major price concessions. and the zombie houses in SWFLA are a very difficult thing to deal with given the weather . mold issues etc etc. feel bad for those who got with crappy builders who had to know they could not produce that many homes but kept taking deposits.. 

Post: seeking private lending and hard money lending

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Andy Pham:

Hey Justin! Andy here with Loanbidz.com. I can help you with some funding options if you're looking at investment properties! We primarily work with private lenders. 

Feel free to Text or call me at 417-605-3509 


Andy if the properties are Nevada I suspect you  don't know the lending laws there.. you need NMLS registration and a state license on any 1 to 4 unit AND   and this is a big AND you must have Brick and Mortar location.  I know it sucks but that's the rules in NV  IF this is a NV 1 to 4 unit loan.

Post: OO Private Money Bail Out

Jay Hinrichs
#1 All Forums Contributor
Posted
  • Lender
  • Lake Oswego OR Summerlin, NV
  • Posts 43,107
  • Votes 63,654
Quote from @Kerry Noble Jr:

Essentially you can find someone to put a note on it for, lets say 250 and out of that 250 the 150 gets paid off but they hold the note on it now. 

this is mission impossible.. on the loan side  its an owner occ loan.. you have to do full dodd frank and she wont qualify.. also you have pre foreclosure laws that have to be adhered to.
Sale is what needs to happen in my mind full stop the rest is just talk and wishful thinking.