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All Forum Posts by: Jeremiah Dunakin

Jeremiah Dunakin has started 7 posts and replied 143 times.

Post: Is it a bad time to invest?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130

I miss read your post. It got scrambled in my brain. I read a couple words wrong .I seee what you are saying now. My bad

Post: Is it a bad time to invest?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130
Quote from @Russell Brazil:

We have literally the opposite problem of a coming real estate crash. We have an inflation problem that traces from the money supply increasing by $3-4 trillion in a mater of a couple of months in Q1 &Q2 2020. That Genie can not be put back in the bottle. 

 why do you think a real estate crash is coming. Is it because 3.5 years ago we spent a bunch of money that we didn’t have. In your opinion how does that equate to a crash.In 2020 we dealt with an unprecedented global pandemic. We were at home being safe. Money had to put in system. I’m not sure how that is still affecting today when I could be wrong but are probably averting about 2t in new debt each year.2020 was about 4t.

Post: Is it a bad time to invest?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:
Quote from @Jeremiah Dunakin:
Quote from @Chris Watkins:

Hi Kazumi, welcome to the forums!

The effects of a particular president (or even governing party) would likely be small on the major economic forces that drive real estate. Presidents actually have little effect over the larger economy (positively or negatively) that the preside over.n’t win a title. Or Elon musk doesn’t really factor into Tesla 


 It is because it's being exaggerated so much as it's discussed widely in social media , while the data showing it's almost meaningless. Yes political has its influence but not so much when we carefully access the data and information. 

The biggest immigration after all is still going to Sacramento, these are mostly retirees age level or Baby boomers generation moving out from high-productive-economy to more retirement-area-suburb and also new development in that area, as the area is new growth.

The driving force is mostly because of high cost of living, people is moving to more affordable place.  But whoever ruling the country, the high COL place is almost high COL that drives people out.


 I appreciate a level headed conversation.To further here is where I differ.

The media can say what it wants. The facts are still the facts. That is an area where people have willful ignorance because the facts don’t back up their chosen party. 

The data really isnt really meaningless. It may not  be what we want to hear and go on emotion and feelings. The data in every American’s pocketbook says that inflation is out of control. I gave examples of main things that affect main streets money. Chicken is twice as much as it was if not a little more than twice. Gas is twice as much. A 2x4 is twice as much. In November 2020 including the huge dip from lockdowns factored in my investments were up about 45% return. They have since gone to the negatives and just now rebounded to sub 10%. That is a lot of money to lose. The cost of a mortgage 4% higher in intrest than it was. You get less house for the money. Most people it takes them out of the equation for even owning a home.

The policies of certain areas within the last 3 years have been disastrous for people. Crime is through the roof this is data not my feelings. California has had a loss of people for the first time I think in history. Sacramento might have lost people to the suburbs but I’m talking the whole state. These people and buisness are fleeing the policy of the lawmakers the small buisness can’t afford the crime major buisness can’t either and it’s becoming a passed on burden to the rest of us. These are data points.Look at the firms moving out of nyc and Chicago places moving out of Portland and Seattle. These are huge firms. They are going to different political landscapes. 

The cost of living is a direct correlation of political governmental policy. California,New York, Chicago, all have common political ideas. Meanwhile Texas,florida, Tennessee all have a similar trajectory. To me that is a direct correlation. The numbers don’t lie. My company has benefited because of California regulations and had to move production out of there. 

The high cost of living can’t be dismissed with luck or chance. There is a reason there is a high cost of living in those areas. The is a reason the cost of living is different in other areas. It has nothing to do with sunshine. 

Post: Is it a bad time to invest?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130
Quote from @Chris Watkins:

Hi Kazumi, welcome to the forums!

The effects of a particular president (or even governing party) would likely be small on the major economic forces that drive real estate. Presidents actually have little effect over the larger economy (positively or negatively) that the preside over.

Interest rates are a real concern for investors, especially us in the NW with prices where they are. The demand to live here, coupled with the lack of supply will govern housing prices for the next decade, and insulate the region from a larger drop, even if other parts of the country drop (which I don't believe will happen, at least not like 2008)

An investment property should be looked at as a long-term investment, one that lasts through many economic cycles. If you have high short-term goals for cash flow or appreciation, there's a fair amount of risk. But that risk diminishes over a longer horizon and real estate is fantastic in the long-term.

Whether you invest should depend on your short- and long-term goals. Time in the market beats timing the market. 

I think the effect of politics plays a huge part in real estate and economy. I’m not sure how we can discredit that. When I hear that said to me it sounds like a brush under the rug because facts don’t want to be considered. Politics plays a huge factor in Oregon of all places. People and businesses are moving out of there. The same as California, it’s not because of the weather. It’s strictly because of political reasons. California had a loss of population for one of the first times in history. Where are these buisness and people moving? Texas it is because of political environment. The same goes with economy. A couple years ago I could buy family pack of chicken thighs for around 4/5$ and family chicken breast 8/9$. Yesterday It was almost 17 for thighs and 19 for breast. A gallon of gas is almost 4.00$ it use to be under 2$. A 2x4 was 1.79 all day long and we would throw scraps away. Now a 2x4 is almost 4$. The intrest rates for a house was2.65% now it’s 7ish. I had a small flexiable loan that I was paying 6$ month on 3 years ago. After paying down the balance due to inflation I was paying 14$month on less principle than before. Yes it is very much a political driven economy. I just can’t understand why this is not accepted. Have we looked at retirement accounts lately for last 10 years.

It’s like saying when lebron james came back to Cleveland had no effect on them winning title. Or when Micheal Jordan left the bulls they didn’t win a title. Or Elon musk doesn’t really factor into Tesla 

Post: Would you do it again?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130

Been a factory worker since 18. Never had another choice. I had two mouths to feed and rent was due 25 days after I graduated. June 6 diploma July 1st rent was due. My only regret was not using my overtime money more wisely. I could have been much further along than I am had I saved more. I think most of us could say that though.

Post: Getting Started Struggles

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130

A good start for both your real estate and personal life would to be pay your debt off. Financially this will raise your credit score, you will also hav more money every month that you are not paying to Toyota and State U. This will also be a tremendous foundation to build your marriage on. If you start your married life without the stresses of financial debt I promise it will be better. There are more than enough things in this world to bicker about. Taking that huge stress out of equation will benefit BOTH of your lives for the next 50 years. You will start way ahead of your peers in that aspect both financially and personally. You got this man. Congratulations on the marriage and the desire. Keep getting after that debt and in no time you will have a property

Post: Thoughts on Dave Ramsey?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130
Quote from @Cliff Benner:

 Ain’t gonna lie I’m gonna use that one if u don’t mind

Post: Thoughts on Dave Ramsey?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130
Quote from @Cliff Benner:

My view on information like this is similar to my Income thoughts. 

All Experts have great information they believe in, this is their Stream of knowledge to Me. To them this is their Knowledge River they have built over their life. 

So I take their knowledge Stream and connect it to my Knowledge River to build up My Knowledge River over my life time and I take my Knowledge and Experience to give advice to others that will be a stream to their knowledge River. So some of his principles make sense; debt snowball, emergency savings, and it's logical that the more cash you have the more you can purchase. But i think debt leverage is good; so I take the bits that make sense to me and leave the rest to build my own logic. 

I use this river analogy to make sense of how it works in my brain for this and Income too. The more streams of income that flow into my total Income River, the bigger the river the stronger position I am in. Debt and bills are just Dams that regulate that river.  


 This is a fantastic analogy 

Post: Thoughts on Dave Ramsey?

Jeremiah DunakinPosted
  • Posts 153
  • Votes 130
Quote from @Ned J.:

Like others have said, I agree with a lot of his basic principles, but disagree on zero debt, no CC use, everything in cash etc

What I'm starting to dislike about him is he's becoming more out of touch with the younger generation and their struggles with the current economic environment they are coming into at this stage of their lives. Some of his principles and opinions are too "just stop buying Starbucks and avocado toast and all your economic struggles will be fixed". Some of his opinions and comments are too rooted in what worked for him and the generations before. The current younger generations are not in the same economic situation many of us were in when we were 20-30 years old. Too much "just work 2 jobs, get a side hustle" without acknowledging that "starter" homes aren't 150k any more and $15/hr isnt a living wage. The economic situation the younger generation is in, is not the same as it was for us (and much of that is not under their control or their doing) and I think he fails to acknowledge that very much and sticks to older " well it worked for me" principles that just dont work as well as they used to work. 


 Gonna have to respectfully disagree. Dave’s principles are as old as time itself. The principles work. Just because the younger generation doesn’t accept that or it’s not “thier truth” doesn’t matter.If you follow his basic principles you will succeed in life. The thinking outside the box is fairy tales and a socialist fantasy. The younger generation(which I borderline am) just doesn’t want to work hard for a season. Most of them don’t want to work 40 hours a week let alone overtime. That’s why they don’t get ahead or don’t move out of parents house. It’s not minimum wage,health care or working conditions, equity,or any other neoliberal thought process. It’s a lack of putting in hard work and dedication.We as a society don’t need to pander to the illogical fantasies of “younger generation” thier truth is not correct, Dave is correct. For what it’s worth I am not a Dave Ramsey follower. However what is wrong with

Have an emergency fund cause life happens(do real estate investors set aside for furnace repairs)

Live within your means. Spending more than you take out is a bad idea. If it cost 1300/month for your rental and you are bringing in 1000 month there is gonna be a problem. 

Credit is risky for frivolous things. Charging 100$ on credit card for beers and pizza is bad idea long term. It becomes an unsustainable life style.

New cars are a huge waste of money. They just are. 

Unless you spend a lot of time researching mutual funds are the way to go. They are about as safe as you can get.I know the newer crowd crypto millionaires. 

giving a portion of your money back to church(some take it serious and that’s ok) or community is a good thing. 

Not sure all his principles but what of these are bad antiquated

Quote from @Aaron Mazzrillo:

Sounds like you're running a hospice. How's that working out for you? 
You either invest with your heart or your calculator. Life happens. Guess what, none of us is getting out of here alive! 3 day and evict. Find a healthy tenant with a steady income. 

 That’s absolutely brutal. I had a post about seeing people struggle. But it ain’t gonna matter and honestly I’m speechless