Quote from @Allan C.:
@Dan H. Fair point about inequity of rents limited by AB 1482 if taxes get reassessed. I may have an incorrect assumption that most MF operators have a strong spread between revenue and expenses, especially if assets are held by owners for a long enough time for Prop 19 to have material impact.
you've mentioned many times that you have significant rent growth on your assets, so how does the rent growth not cover the tax increase? That seems to be the case for my MF properties. I also believe Prop 19 targets SFH more than MF, and rent caps don't apply in that scenario.
will this result in more corporate owners - perhaps. It will surely result in higher rents to offset the tax burden. It will also ensure LLs keep up with the markets rent since they don't have luxury of relying on low tax basis.
While I get that this prop affects long time owners, I also see this as balancing markets. I fundamentally don't like regs that have extreme biased treatments for legacy owners, even though I am beneficiary. Market prices are set by the marginal providers, and the marginal CA providers (at least for <25 units) are bearing the full burden of property taxes.
>you've mentioned many times that you have significant rent growth on your assets, so how does the rent growth not cover the tax increase? That seems to be the case for my MF properties.
Not all residential property owners manage their properties as a well run business. Many let rents get significantly below market rent. They can do this and still make money because of the prop 13 property tax savings. I am not saying this is a smart business approach, but it is very common.
I suspect as often as I have mentioned good rent growth, I have mentioned my cash flow is modest. This is because I maintain fairly high leverage (I attempt to maintain higher leverage than I can maintain). The high leverage maximizes ROI and minimizes the tax (because the cash flow is minimized).
My heirs will have negative cash flow on multiple properties. More importantly why would they choose to keep any of them? They are already optimized. The heir gets a stepped up cost basis. Are these properties still the best RE investments that can be purchased if the property tax increases to that of a new purchase? I suspect not. They have no good value add opportunities. I have discussed this with my heir and the need to recognize well rum properties have optimal resale value.
The current market has poor return on equity (ROE) at current rates. With the prop 19 property tax increase, the inherited property is likely to have this poor ROE and typically the best option is for the heir to sell the property.
The same thing happens in regular businesses. The business is achieving increased profit due to the property tax savings achieved by owning the business property for many years. Without this savings, the business is no longer viable.
A local welder is in this position. The family had a large welder/machine shop business that the property had been owned by the family around 50 years. When the property tax got reassessed at death, the business was no longer viable. The heir rented out 90% of the property to an equipment rental business. The heir let go all his employees. The heir stores his machine equipment on the property in storage (not in an easily usable state) and has a canopy set up for him to still do welding jobs on site. I suspect he hopes to resurrect the full business at some point. I question if he would have been better off selling the property and equipment. Regardless, I consider this a sad consequence of prop 19.
Having to sell off or shutdown family businesses at death (whether residential housing or an other business) I view as an undesirable consequence of prop 19.
As indicated, I am against any attack of prop 13. What I see is regular attempts to strip prop 13 protections by targeting a small subset of the constituent base. It seems like every other election there is a prop to remove prop 13 protections from some group. They succeeded in getting it removed at inheritance (excluding farms). I guarantee another attack on prop 13 protections will be coming.
Best wishes