I am looking at a tri-plex rented to students - typically 20, 21 and up years old.
Asking $259,000. ARV about $300,000. Each is 4 bedroom, 3 bath. Includes Frig, stove, dishwasher, washer and dryer. All electric (no gas). Heat and A/C. Asphalt parking lot. Monthly income $3250. Here's the kicker. The building is only 20 years old...but EVERYTHING else is also 20 years old.
My educated guess/calculations is $30,000 in repairs; $40,000 if I do some upgrades. Nothing NEEDS replacing, repairing NOW. Units are fully rented with one unit's lease is up July of this year. The other 2 are up July of 2017.
When I run the numbers through the calculator I get $674 cash flow, 9.59 CoC ROI and 8.8 purchase cap rate because the assumption by the calculator is I will be spending the $30K - $40K before leasing.
Other assumptions are 5% vacancy (even though they really haven't had any vacancies so this goes towards turnovers); 5% repairs and maintenance because of the initial reserve (more in a bit); 10% cap ex; $200/mo insurance (maybe should be a bit more); actual taxes and 10% property maintenance. Just thought of the parking...need to adjust maintenance for re-seal and stripe every 5 years.
My desire is to purchase with 20% down at 5% financing and have $15,000 to $20,000 in reserves right off to cover immediate needs like new roof (but doesn't leak yet), 2 A/C's (third one is 5 years old), and "rehabbing" the 1 unit this year when the lease is up. Rehabbing would include floors, paint, possible/probable replace of appliances and washer/dryer, water heater. A/C's and air handler/heater need to be assessed as to expected life expectancy as well as the roof. I would fly/drive out and do much of the inside repairs myself. Too much Scottish blood and too little trust in others' work that I know I can do.
Rents real close to the University run $300 - $450 a bedroom. This one is not even at $300 per bed. Renewed, they could command at least $325 (they are 2 miles from campus).
There is one issue that could break this deal for me but it will be left unsaid. I don't want the focus on it :-) Just suffice it to say my eyes are open...but I have gotten a little excited about this project.
So tons of verbiage and a lot of numbers. How does this look to you who are seasoned investors?