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All Forum Posts by: Connor Dunham

Connor Dunham has started 12 posts and replied 215 times.

Quote from @Keenan Fitzpatrick:

We all learned in Economics 101 that price is a function of supply and demand. Too many homes on the market, and prices start to come down. Not enough homes on the market, and prices start to creep up. Home prices, though, are a lagging indicator. They're the result of changes in supply and demand.

Tracking the supply and demand of housing in our local areas lets us have a peek into the future, then. We can see trends before prices start to be affected.

Residential Units Sold5-year TrendResidential Inventory5-year Trend

I like what you’re showing here, @Keenan Fitzpatrick. Would you DM me the formatted data? I’d like to add a relative strength indicator for absolute and mo/mo. I’ll repost here.

Quote from @Kaiden Foster:
Quote from @Connor Dunham:

Hey Kaiden,

Congrats on the expansion! Grab the muni’s registered addresses and send them a letter in the mail.


 Thanks, Connor! Any tricks on finding addresses? At the moment, I'll look at listings that have a picture of the house and within 5-10 minutes I can find the property on Google maps and the owner in the muni database, but ultimately pretty time-consuming and only works on properties that have an exterior picture with address numbers.

There’s a saying in investing - DYOR - do your own research 😀. But I’ll get you pointed: https://www.muni.org/departmen...

Hey Kaiden,

Congrats on the expansion! Grab the muni’s registered addresses and send them a letter in the mail.

Post: Alaska Multifamily Investing - What's rent got to do with it?

Connor DunhamPosted
  • Investor
  • Anchorage, AK
  • Posts 227
  • Votes 133

@Jamie Rose I didn’t figure you for a Tina Turner fan, but the proof is in the pun 😁.

Rents appreciation had been sorely missed since 2015. Glad to see it back the last few years.
Household formation / housing supply has been a big driver of rents the last few years nationally. With higher inflation adjusted wages, I would expect local rents to stay the same or continue to appreciate. Aedc is also modest to muted in their projections for the next 4-5 years.

I am not optimistic for any GDP growth as the state continues to net lose skilled professionals and families due to poor educational opportunities / better pay elsewhere. - I.e. maximize cash flow over appreciation for the term term investments. 

Post: Opportunities in a Hot vacation destination area

Connor DunhamPosted
  • Investor
  • Anchorage, AK
  • Posts 227
  • Votes 133
Quote from @David Lisi:

Hey there!  I have a chance to buy a significant amount of property in Alaska (fishing lodge) that goes hand in hand with my fishing guide business.  The numbers work really well; however, this is my first "big" swing at a real estate play.  This property will cash flow nicely, I am just not sure how to get something like this done.  (list is 1.6 mil)

Hi David,
assuming you’re operating out of copper landing - now that the highway bypass is funded, how does that affect the property you’re looking at?

Post: Widely Divergent Assumptions in Projected Appreciation; Alaska

Connor DunhamPosted
  • Investor
  • Anchorage, AK
  • Posts 227
  • Votes 133
Quote from @Nick Bruckner:

I see posts in the BP Community about a collapse of the values of MF properties (reduction of cash influx from COVID, rental assistance programs, increasing supply from builders, lagging impact of recession, etc). I also read market forecasts from other agents projecting 24% appreciation over the next 5 years in Seattle, and Alaska. No one has a crystal ball. People read different news sources, and factor different things into their projections and come to drastically different conclusions. I invest and live in Alaska. A good chunk of our state lives in small villages only accessible by road where the cost of living was astronomical before inflation. With fuel delivered once a year, many villages are locked into prices over $9/gallon for gas for the year.  The migration from these rural communities will only get stronger. We have a strong rental market here in Anchorage. MF Properties don't fluctuate as much some other parts of the country have in the past few years, but we have stable, steady growth. Where do you get your data for projections?

Prices are in large part a function of interest rates. Another part is local buying power. I see a lot of local inflation-indexed payrolls (government) (going up), and no FED pivot (yet) (going down). Outmigration is still happening, but will slow into a weakening economy in the lower-48. Watch for payrolls to catch up in 2024. 

Post: Contractor Issue/Legal Advice

Connor DunhamPosted
  • Investor
  • Anchorage, AK
  • Posts 227
  • Votes 133
Quote from @Kirstyn Draper:

I don’t know what you would consider “significantly” more, but it’s a few thousand over 10k. 

It’s probably easier, less risky, and more efficient to put all claims through small claims court. It’s faster, you can represent yourself, and max award is 10k. 


i’ve had to file the packet with tenants a few times and they all wanted to settle before heading to court.

Post: Contractor Issue/Legal Advice

Connor DunhamPosted
  • Investor
  • Anchorage, AK
  • Posts 227
  • Votes 133

We talking significantly more than 10k?

Post: I Stayed in an Airbnb in EVERY STATE (Except Alaska)

Connor DunhamPosted
  • Investor
  • Anchorage, AK
  • Posts 227
  • Votes 133

@Jamie Rose or @Tyler Cobb would love to hook you up. It's a big state though, so you might want to define what sort of experience you're looking for.

Post: Best Market for MFU to CashFlow and Appreciate

Connor DunhamPosted
  • Investor
  • Anchorage, AK
  • Posts 227
  • Votes 133
Quote from @Jamie Rose:

@Eric Giovannucci Yes Anchorage is great - tough to do STR from a distance for new investors though - takes genuine work on their part - but LTR is a great gateway - we like to buy LTR MF with the upside for STR.

I'm feeling less stress with Medium Term (7 to 90 day stays) while still having extra net revenue. Still have to furnish and line up cleaning/supplies though.