@Ryan Daulton Basically everything he told you is correct. However just about everything he told you he is either double dipping on or is irrelevant.
1. Interest rate higher. When you buy, get a fixed rate locked in for long term. When you are calculating your rate of return it doesn't matter if interest rates are 3% or 10%, if your rate of return is 7% with whatever the interest rate is you are still making that 7%. Getting a 7% rate of return after paying a 10% interest rate is no different than making 7% after paying a 3% interest rate; and can be great because if rates go down you can refi and increase your rate of return.
2. Appreciation can not be assumed. Technically true and if you are looking short term then you can not bank on it. However if you buy and force appreciation you are good. Also if you are holding for 10 years you can just about be assured of some appreciation.
3. Vacancies and evictions. These should already be calculated into your rate of return so irrelevant or double dipping.
4.repairs and maintenance. These should already be calculated into your rate of return so irrelevant or double dipping.
5.Other expenses. These should already be calculated into your rate of return so irrelevant or double dipping.
6. Other landlord losing money in 23/24. Sounds like they took out loans with interest rates that can change. If you get long term fixed rate debt then this would not happen.
7. distressed seller. Personally these are the types of properties I look for. Some people want turn key properties that are already fixed up and they won't buy these. If you are fine fixing up a distressed property then after fixed up you should be getting a much higher rate of return. Personal example, when I fix up the units in my places (2-5 unit properties) I tend to go from a 5 to a 10 rate of return. Plus the value of the property is significantly higher. So once again this is an opportunity if you know what you are doing.
ADVANTAGES
1. I never calculate in the depreciation and tax advantages when looking at a property and what kind of rate of return I am getting. I like to keep it simple and depreciation/tax advantages are just a bonus. You are right on the appreciation that you will be getting on top of your rate of return. This is where it blows other investments out of the water.
2.This is a great way to go. It is what I would do if I was younger and it is what I am telling my daughter to do instead of her just buying her first house to live in.
3.You are correct but this is not a calculation to do in the beginning. You may at some point choose to cash out a property and pay the taxes. I just did that on one of my properties for a strategic reason. Plus you never know what the government could do in potentially changing the rules.
OTHER ADVANTAGES
It sounds like you are looking at distressed multi fam properties. If you can find a property that is ugly and has low rents. You buy it based on its current cash flow. Then when a tenant moves out you invest money into that unit and fix it up nice (don't keep it looking like the ugly apartments like all of the competition does. I have sold my old fridges and stoves to other landlords who were putting them in their units while I was putting stainless steel appliances in mine.). You then get top market rent for the space. If there is a down turn and vacancies increase you will still be able to get yours rented out as yours will look nicer than the competition. I have taken plenty of units that were ugly and getting around $700-$900 in rent and after fix up anywhere between $1,100 and $1,600 in rent. You get that done across all the units and your rate of return now looks much better than that CD and you also increased the value of the property by forcing appreciation.
DOWNSIDES
-Real Estate is filled with risk that you don't get with CDs. You could buy a property and a major defect is not seen during the inspection and it will cost you a lot and kill your numbers and really hurt you.
-Lawsuits
-Another covid happens and you are in an area where they make rules preventing you from kicking someone out that doesn't pay their rent for a long time. (CA did this and some people were not able to get rent for 2 years)
-If you don't have an adequate reserve then big expenses like HVAC, roofs, etc can really hurt.
FINAL THOUGHTS
-Make sure not to overleverage
-Keep a large enough cash reserve so that when things happen that require money that you don't make bad decisions because you are desperate.
-Fix it up right and make it nice.
-Treat your tenants right, like humans and not just a cash account.
-There are plenty of people out there that either have baggage when it comes to real estate or are scared of the uncertainty of it. If you want to be in RE then do not talk to them about it or listen to their advise, other than to make sure that your a doing things to protect yourself from all of their worries. Also don't just listen to those that have only been in it for just a few years. They don't have enough experience yet. I have many family members (most of them) that did not think it was a good idea for us to start our business. They also are not ones for investing in real estate. I just did not talk to them about it or at most I told them a little about what we were doing. (I do talk to them more about it now, but after 20+ years they have seen what we have achieved and don't try to tell me anything anymore.) Some people are made to be business owners or real estate investors and others are not.
Just my two cents.