Originally posted by @Jed Haslam-Walker:
Hi @Bernard Sanga,
I wonder what you mean by compressed Cap Rates? It could be many different things to different people..
My experience of Multi-Family in the 8-20 market in the Tampa region is that the Caps vary significantly...the most recent detailed market cap analysis I did, by hand, and accurately, gave me a range from 6.25% - 11.85% and that was me excluding 2 deals that were so ridiculously good that it would have skewed my averages.
It really depends on your purchasing strategy - if you are looking for a turnkey operation in an expanding market like Tampa you will experience price pressure. Tampa area purchase prices are one of the 6 most elevated price points of 2020. It would be an unwise strategy to do that, unless you were a hedge fund or a REIT or you were an international group looking to park your money.
The growth in the market is a great thing, it promises continued appreciation throughout the quadrants of Real Estate Cycle and is currently still in the early to mid expansion phase - all of this is very good but you would need to purchase strategically. I'm in the middle of 2 5+ multi-family purchases in that region with Cap Rates around 6.5%-7.8% and they are incredible deals that will end up making my clients a great deal of money.The deals are there but it requires some experience to see them I think. Many brokers do not prepare their OMs accurately, often the data reported are incorrect and an expert knowledge of the target area on the part of the investor ( or the agent) is essential in spotting a deal that's hidden in the weeds.
Additionally, manoeuvring within a mediocre deal can turn it on it's head. There are many strategies to use.
I would counsel you to pause before you move away from an incredibly lucrative growth area like Tampa to head north where your demographics, infrastructure, target market density and appreciation prospects are compromised. Remember Cap Rates are only one metric to measure a RE investment against.
Hope this helps.
Hi Jed - thanks for taking time replying to this post. When I say compressed cap rates - what I mean is property values are high and are continuing to rise thereby making cap rates go down. Price per sq ft and price per unit is quite high in the area. Does anybody have any other meaning of compressed cap rates? Just curious.
Woah, are you really seeing 11 caps in Tampa? I am seeing more high 4s, 5s and 6s at best. I think I saw some higher caps but its with porfolios of sfhs and small multis and I am not interested in that. What kinds of incorrect data from OMs do you usually see? If you are talking about incorrect pro forma information, that's a given, I do not even look at that. I mainly just look at the actual/current financials and do my own pro formas. Also, I only do deals with value adds. I like the deals where you can use RUBS to seperate utilities, and etc.
I will not stop looking at deals in the Tampa bay MSA but will be expanding my search. l look at deals every single day. Would love to connect!
Thank you!