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All Forum Posts by: Austin Davis

Austin Davis has started 12 posts and replied 53 times.

Post: Interesting method for creating a rehab estimating forumla

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10

I was speaking with a local real estate investor that mentioned his quick glance rehabbing formula he uses on houses he doesn't have the time or ability to do an actual walk through on (he does a lot of volumes, and quite a few of his deals in different markets). I was little skeptical at first because I've seen quite a few gurus trying to sell systems for virtual wholesaling to automate or make a simple formula for rehabbing estimates, or sell you some software. He basis his rehab formula based on the market and he does the following:

1). He picks out of 7-10 "common" rehab category cost items (replacing carpet, painting, etc.) , for different trim levels.  

2). Get between 3-5 estimates for  each category and then averages the cost of each job. He gets pretty specific on the estimates (asking for name brand paint or carpeting). I got a little confused at this point if he's basing the average on a sqft or per job.

3). Once he has the average cost per category for the 5 categories he's chosen, he'll compare each local category cost to the national average (which I believe he's getting from home advisor possibly a more in-depth service).

4) He takes the difference between the local average and the national average, and then averages the difference. I.e.  category a; local- $10  national- $20 ; category b: local-$20  national $10 ; category c: local 10  national 20. "local cost category modifier"= category a: (+10) + category b (-10) + category c (+10)/ 3. "local cost category modifier"= (+$3.30) more than the national average. 

5) He'll make arrangements with local house inspectors to do a walk through the of house and take extensive documentation. If he can't get a house inspector or similar to do a walk through, he'll assume worst case scenario based on his notes and go from there.

Said the entire process will probably take him anywhere from 3-10 man hours (most of that time is spent contacting, communicating, and reviewing estimates from the contractors in step 2). He outsources alot o the work to his VA's and he won't do a deal in a new market if he's not sure he'll do at least 3 more in that same market over the next year and/or if he can't identify the potential for more deals. He ties the "local modifier" to local cpi or something , and he'll use it for about 3 years before updating it again.

Honestly it seems like a rather ingenious way of estimating rehab costs if you don't know the local market all that well. Obviously it probably won't be that accurate, but probably gets you in the ball park. From talking to this guy and seeing the deals he's done....seems like its working. Thoughts?

Post: Ask me a question about wholesaling houses and or assigning paper

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10

another idea, use the reddit rule for self promotion.  For every one post you make thats self-promotion, you should have at least 5 posts that are genuine contributions to the community.

Post: Ask me a question about wholesaling houses and or assigning paper

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10
Originally posted by @Adrien C.:

Lets be clear- they are not criticizing you for posting. The feedback you received is because your first 5 posts were you pitching your e-book. You come on a international site with investors who've done 10X what you've done in half the time yet call yourself "the king of wholesaling." and are pitching a $50 e-book. Nobody knows the "600 deals you've done since 2005." Have a slice of humble pie. You're a small fish in this huge ocean of investors. I gave you some wise advice on promoting your ebook on this site and you blew it up. 

If you want to build credibility- got read all the newbie wholesaling questions and start answering their questions. 

 basically introduce yourself to the community, add value to the community, before you try and extract value from the community. 

Post: What is the hardest part of wholesaling?

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10
Originally posted by @Jeff McDermott:

Yeah, that's a good one!

What I did was I would get sponsors, lenders, agents etc. and have them pay for the advertising.  They get their name out to my list and problem solved!

Also, another big move I made early on, connecting with every buyers agent in my area and ask them what their buyers are looking for.  I didn't ask for access to the list, names, numbers etc. I was now providing the agent with a service, which in return I got a portion of their commission if I procured a deal plus I would get my cut from the wholesale which wasn't very much $2-3K but each deal would GROSS $5-6K and most of time with no money out of pocket for any overhead.

 Jeff, would you mind explaining your arrangement with realtors in a little more detail? Sounds really interesting. I'm about to get into the wholesaling market with a friend in the Seattle market. We are looking heavily at partnering with other wholesalers and other real estate professional and agents. 

Post: Dilemma: Own our own place or start investing

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10
Originally posted by @Phil Bottfeld:
Originally posted by @David Muir:

Best advice i have got to date, is don't buy anything you wouldn't live in.

 I'm sorry but I have to disagree with this. Just because something does not meet your standards does not mean it won't meet the standards of others. For example, if you can only live with stainless steel appliances and white shaker cabinets, be prepared to be disappointed when you try to rent a property and cash flow with a decent yield. I am not saying it can't happen, but I personally do not want to live in one of my condos because they are not suitable for my family's needs, but they work great for my tenants. My tenants take great care of the unit. 

Feeling safe is totally different, personally for me, I don't feel comfortable in renting to Class C- or lower properties because of the general environment and it does not attract the kind of tenant I want.

Whether you decide to buy your own place or rent to others, run the numbers, be comfortable with whatever choice you make. But don't be blind to only the opportunities that you'd only consider living, you might miss a great investment.

- Phil

 "Don't buy anything you wouldn't live in" is that its a rule of thumb. I think the basic gist of the generalization is that you shouldn't buy a property in area that isn't safe or if the house (even with repairs) is gonna be overall a **** hole. Obviously this sort of generalization goes out the window if you want to do section 8 rentals or class C / D neighborhoods (not that your rentals should be crappy). My dad (did buy and holds when he was younger) always said never buy anything you wouldn't let a family member or friend stay in.

Post: The massive Real Estate bubble that's happening again (with charts)

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10
Originally posted by @Ryland Taniguchi:

When a bubble pop is coming, it doesn't mean you have to stop flipping. When I analyze deals, I always have my 2008 lenses on. I was flipping through 2008 and so I remember exactly what investments did well and which ones did poorly.

1) Generally, cash flow properties will do okay. Fix to rent (BRRRR). The bottom end of the rental did fine during 2008 to 2010. If you bought a property under $100 k in the Seattle area, it was barely affected 2008 to 2010.

2) The hot areas do well. In my market seattle, areas like Ballard, Fremont, Greenlake, Madison Park, Magnolia, Queen Anne, Wallingford, Laurelhurst, Sandpoint, Bellevue, Mercer Island, Medina, Kirkland and Redmond all did okay during 2008 through 2010.

3) Watch out for the middle markets. Those between hot and bottom prices. In my market, middle markets include Puyallup, Renton, Auburn, Federal Way, West Seattle, Burien, Lake Stevens, and Bonney Lake got crushed in 2008.

4) Be careful with Apartment and condo projects during the bubble peak. I have 5 projects and am limiting myself to two. Be able to have cash to ride out the bubble crash.

5) Be careful with bank loans and cross-collateralization. Don't let one bad project affect all of your otherwise well-positioned other assets. Better to rely on hard money and private money.

6) Buy gold and bury it. I wish I were kidding!

7) Partner up with a hedge fund or start a hard money fund. Will keep you liquid during a bubble crash.

8) Keep lots of liquid assets. I utilize cash value life insurance but won't go into that since some of year cringe at the idea because they are not educated. Also, I buy tax liens.

9) Stay away from long plat developments.

10) Pay-down your debts so you have more LTV (I like to be 60% LTV). Just lowers your risk and increases your options. Manage your finances very well.

11) Keep some properties free and clear. Will help.

Happy 2016!!!

 Ryland great advice, and thanks for the local insight on Seattle. My friend/investing partner (who is local in Seattle) are in the midsts of starting our wholesaling operation up and getting our first direct marketing campaign launched. 

Post: 1K for marketing - How should I spend it?

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10

You're in a similar. My business partner and very close friend are getting ready are going to start wholesaling in the Seattle market (which is where he's located). We've got about 2-2.5k allocated for marketing. We're working the tried and true absentee owner market, along with code violation. Right now we're focussing on doing direct to mail, but were looking at other option as well. @Dev Horn  that is a brilliant idea with the hangers!. Also I'm exploring setting up a website to do inbound leads, but that might be for further down the road. Seems like when you get it working it works great, but it would take a lot to get it set up. Direct mail is a lower barrier to entry.

Post: how to find hot buyers

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10

If youre willing to spend a little money, use listsource to pull recent absentee owner purchases for the past 6 months. Look for multiple appearances of the same name, thas who you want to marketing too. 

Hop on craiglist and try and find recently remodeled houses. Look for rental units. Contact those listing, see if they are looking to purchases any new properties. If you find a professional property manager, leasing agent, or realtor number,  reach out to them. Ask them if they have any clients that are looking to obtain new properties. Offer some sort of incentive for referrals, and/or referral for referral.

Talk with some hard money lenders in the area. See if they know of any clients who are looking for new properties. Offer an incentive to them for referrals and/or referrals for referrals.

Post: Finding Mailing Addresses for Code Violation List

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10

The City of Seattle has an up to date code violation list which you can download in an excel file. I applied a simple sort field to the headings and was able to sort out commercial properties, and cases which have already closed. I filtered for residential properties with cases that are still open from the last six months and got 300 properties. I can't say the list will be 100% accurate, but just spot checking about a dozen properties I'd say that atleast 75% of the list is decently workable. As I worked with the list more I'll probably pick up on more. I'm  gonna use a virtual assistant to fill in mailing address for the property owner and use that for direct mail campaign. 

Post: Finding Mailing Addresses for Code Violation List

Austin DavisPosted
  • Management Analyst / Urban Planner
  • Lutz, FL
  • Posts 58
  • Votes 10

Never mind i found the informaiton!