Originally posted by @Ken Latchers:
@Luke Ron
Just that it constantly amazes me how many people will throw hundreds of thousands of dollars at a property and learn about what is involved later.
STR has a lot of dimensions going on. People read a newspaper article and suddenly they are short term rental crazy want to scale up as soon as possible know 10% of what matters read some forums and are suddenly convinced they are in the right field to get rich.
at some point in the not-too-distant future, a reckoning is coming in the short term rental space that will be breathtaking. Perhaps an economic crisis, perhaps a collapse when a Breaking Point is reached with too many people piling into what they think are easy riches.
I have to agree. We were looking into it ourselves and the cash flow isn’t as great as people claim...unless they are expecting 100% occupancy, no cap ex, and no or very low mortgage payments. It’s certainly better than LTR for cash flow even with my conservative numbers, but not sure it’s worth the extra hassle and hands-on management.
Here in Florida, I discovered that anything under 6 months falls under the Division of Hotels and is regulated as such, and from what I can tell, STR owners are largely non-complaint with these regs, lodging taxes, even registering with the state as a landlord! (I personally think the state is going overboard but I also won't operate outside the law, which adds to my headaches and my costs and makes it hard to compete).
So many municipalities are looking into ways to deter people from doing it. Our state passed a law that municipalities are not allowed to prohibit or put certain limits on STRs so cities are getting creative. HOAs and condos are also a crapshoot since they can change their bylaws at any time.
To me, in Florida, there are too many unknowns (and knowns typically ignored by others), coupled with my personal estimates being conservative as far as occupancy %, and we would need an 80% loan, so it’s not happening for us, and I fear you’re right about too many people jumping in to the point where we see a hard reset of some sort. I also think we will see a lot of failures and conversions to LTRs or even selloffs based on the factors listed above.