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Updated over 7 years ago,
Analyzing an 8-plex; is their price too high?
The good: This property is owned by an elderly woman who is in the hospital; her two daughters manage it, but they live out of town. They don't seem to know a lot about marketing their property; it is not listed for sale online, and they are not working with a realtor; it's just a cardboard sign in front of the property. It is located directly next door to a major hospital, so there is stability in the neighborhood.
The bad: I have very little cash on hand. I'm wanting to run the numbers on this deal to see if it is an incredible deal. If it is indeed incredible, I will explore options for creative financing, but I'm not interested in highly leveraging myself for a ho-hum deal.
The numbers (as provided by the daughter; I have not independently verified anything.)
8 apartments, 6 upper and 2 lower
Building age 47 years.
Building Area SF 8,448.
Site .881 acres
Property Taxes $8,442
Sewer/water and electric $3,420
Gas $3,072
Apartment
A $700.00
B $635.00
C $700.00
D Available asking $700
E $595.00
F $620.00
G $540.00
H $575.00
There is a $25 discount if rent is paid by the 1st.
Asking price $375,000
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
So, assuming everyone pays on time, that brings the net monthly income to $4,865. I asked her to provide me with more details so I could figure out the NOI, and she sent me tax returns for 2014 and 2015 (why is 2016 not included? Not sure...something to check on if I decide to pursue this deal further.)
So, the NOI for those two years averages out to $22,000 a year. (at least, that's what they've claimed on their taxes) Now, if I understand the math correctly, I need to divide that number by the cap rate to get the property value. However, I am not sure of the cap rate in the area (we're new to the area...and I'm new to multi-family!) Digging online seems to indicate the cap should be about 9% (which sounds reasonable), but I don't know if those numbers are at all reliable. At 9% cap rate, the property should be worth $244,000, which is a pretty major price difference from $375,000. Have I done the math correctly? What information am I missing, and how should I go about getting that information? I don't want to go to the owners and tell them they are over-valueing their property unless I am 100% that I am correct.
Finally, what advice might people have about maintenance and CapEx estimates? It's a single building built in 1970; two stories with a basement. There is a detached garage building with 8 garages. What percentage would you figure on this?