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Updated about 11 years ago, 10/22/2013

User Stats

20
Posts
2
Votes
Patrick C.
  • Investor
  • Orinda, CA
2
Votes |
20
Posts

User Stats

2,770
Posts
3,665
Votes
Aaron Mazzrillo
  • Investor
  • Riverside, CA
3,665
Votes |
2,770
Posts
Aaron Mazzrillo
  • Investor
  • Riverside, CA
Replied

The Japanese did the same things in the 80s. We did it in the 2000s. We both went bust and so will the Chinese. All bubbles eventually pop and it is true, if you don't learn from history, you are destined to repeat it.

User Stats

4,301
Posts
3,985
Votes
Jerry W.
Pro Member
  • Investor
  • Thermopolis, WY
3,985
Votes |
4,301
Posts
Jerry W.
Pro Member
  • Investor
  • Thermopolis, WY
ModeratorReplied

I hope they stay out of SFRs I would hate to try to outbid them for houses :)

  • Jerry W.
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    User Stats

    20
    Posts
    2
    Votes
    Patrick C.
    • Investor
    • Orinda, CA
    2
    Votes |
    20
    Posts
    Patrick C.
    • Investor
    • Orinda, CA
    Replied

    Hey Aaron: You look awfully familiar. You used to work on Roppongi-dori?

    I think these Chinese want to get their billions out of China before the govt seizes it and the bubble pops there. U.S. seems like a relatively safer place.

    User Stats

    2
    Posts
    0
    Votes
    Ruiting Wang
    • Investor
    • Edison, NJ
    0
    Votes |
    2
    Posts
    Ruiting Wang
    • Investor
    • Edison, NJ
    Replied

    Been to that building a lot. The last thing a midtown JPMC employee wants is to have a conf there. It is old and needs some renovations. But, Soho China's move earlier this year to buy GM building was a smarter one.

    User Stats

    8,666
    Posts
    4,013
    Votes
    Jon Klaus
    • Developer
    • Garland, TX
    4,013
    Votes |
    8,666
    Posts
    Jon Klaus
    • Developer
    • Garland, TX
    Replied

    Will they hold through the down cycle? Probably not.

    User Stats

    26
    Posts
    8
    Votes
    Carmen Alexe
    • Commercial Loan Broker
    • Georgia
    8
    Votes |
    26
    Posts
    Carmen Alexe
    • Commercial Loan Broker
    • Georgia
    Replied

    Patrick,

    Chinese economy appears to have flourished as a result of less govt intervention and a more predominant capitalistic approach. I highly doubt China will seize its citizens assets anytime soon. I believe the Chinese are buying U.S. assets because they do see value in them.

    User Stats

    210
    Posts
    15
    Votes
    Arjun K.
    • Real Estate Investor
    • New York, NY
    15
    Votes |
    210
    Posts
    Arjun K.
    • Real Estate Investor
    • New York, NY
    Replied

    Chinese have a lot of money. US lets anyone buy here and has best property rights. So they park capital hire. Price is not really a consideration as being a storage of value. These aren't investments per se.

    Sort of sucks because these countries don't let US citizens invest in their countries.. so US gets middle-class priced out of Manhattan while Russians and Chinese horse trade amongst themselves. (Not that politicians care, because higher property values = higher tax revenue = bigger government.. and the American voter meanwhile so proud about what political party they are affiliated with don't really care what the issues are).

    User Stats

    1,416
    Posts
    732
    Votes
    Joseph M.
    • Flipper/Rehabber
    • Los Angeles, CA
    732
    Votes |
    1,416
    Posts
    Joseph M.
    • Flipper/Rehabber
    • Los Angeles, CA
    Replied

    One question: Do you guys think this meets the '2% rule'?

    It looks like the building is being sold for $329.54 per sq ft, which isn't too crazy if you think about prime Manhattan RE costs, but i'm sure office space is probably a lot less than residential rentwise.

    "Fosun Chairman Guo’s fortune has jumped 54 percent to $4 billion this year, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. His conglomerate is involved in pharmaceuticals, real estate, steelmaking, retailing, iron ore and gold mining, and financial services. Fosun is also the biggest investor in French resort operator Club Med."

    Sounds like he's into a bit of everything!

    User Stats

    812
    Posts
    177
    Votes
    Joe Delia
    • Involved In Real Estate
    • Rochester Hills, MI
    177
    Votes |
    812
    Posts
    Joe Delia
    • Involved In Real Estate
    • Rochester Hills, MI
    Replied

    Lots of cash flowing from out of country buyers.

    User Stats

    287
    Posts
    164
    Votes
    Marc Ramsay
    Pro Member
    • Investor
    • Ojochal, Costa Rica
    164
    Votes |
    287
    Posts
    Marc Ramsay
    Pro Member
    • Investor
    • Ojochal, Costa Rica
    Replied

    Back before Hong Kong reverted back to Chinese rule in 1997, a lot of money flowed out of there into Vancouver, BC, Canada, to buy hundreds, maybe thousands, of properties sight unseen for way over list price. Many properties were never even listed in Vancouver and only listed in Hong Kong. That drove the prices up here to unheard of levels, and ever since Vancouver has been one of the most expensive places to buy a home. The average house price in the City of Vancouver is now about $700,000, with huge sections of the city where you won't find anything under $1,000,000. It's ridiculous.

    At least now they're spreading it around.. :)

  • Marc Ramsay
  • User Stats

    20
    Posts
    2
    Votes
    Patrick C.
    • Investor
    • Orinda, CA
    2
    Votes |
    20
    Posts
    Patrick C.
    • Investor
    • Orinda, CA
    Replied
    Originally posted by Marc Ramsay:
    Back before Hong Kong reverted back to Chinese rule in 1997, a lot of money flowed out of there into Vancouver, BC, Canada, to buy hundreds, maybe thousands, of properties sight unseen for way over list price. Many properties were never even listed in Vancouver and only listed in Hong Kong. That drove the prices up here to unheard of levels, and ever since Vancouver has been one of the most expensive places to buy a home. The average house price in the City of Vancouver is now about $700,000, with huge sections of the city where you won't find anything under $1,000,000. It's ridiculous.

    At least now they're spreading it around.. :)

    Interestingly enough, the developers that stayed home in Hong Kong and bought on the dips all became mega billionaires.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/2013-10-21/aaa/aaaqa

    Collectively, they are worth $135.7 billion today.

    User Stats

    20
    Posts
    2
    Votes
    Patrick C.
    • Investor
    • Orinda, CA
    2
    Votes |
    20
    Posts
    Patrick C.
    • Investor
    • Orinda, CA
    Replied
    Originally posted by Carmen Alexe:
    Patrick,

    Chinese economy appears to have flourished as a result of less govt intervention and a more predominant capitalistic approach. I highly doubt China will seize its citizens assets anytime soon. I believe the Chinese are buying U.S. assets because they do see value in them.

    I agree the U.S. is a better value. The choice is a free market-driven economy vs. totalitarian government intervention. Here's the result: http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=50152767n

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    User Stats

    2,770
    Posts
    3,665
    Votes
    Aaron Mazzrillo
    • Investor
    • Riverside, CA
    3,665
    Votes |
    2,770
    Posts
    Aaron Mazzrillo
    • Investor
    • Riverside, CA
    Replied
    Originally posted by Patrick Chu:
    Hey Aaron: You look awfully familiar. You used to work on Roppongi-dori?

    I worked as a DJ & bartender in the mid 90s in nightclubs in Roppongi. I had a Friday night residency at a club near Bar Isn't It?

    I also did some work as a fashion model for snowboarding companies. The ads always ran as circulars in the newspapers, but they may have been elsewhere.