Is the median income trending up, etc.Once you start getting into individual neighborhoods you probably want to look at crime statistics, foreclosure rates, etc.Is it possible to find a deal in a well established market using the 1% rule?

The world thinks a lot less of my probity than it does of yours.But your response does remind me greatly of the time I submitted a paper in a nursing class that pointed out the obvious fact that that Big Pharma has minimal direct financial incentives to direct their research budgets towards finding one-time cures and maximum direct financial incentives for putting money into finding ongoing treatments for chronic diseases.I got a D with a big circle around it and a denouncement by the nursing professor with the side job in Big Pharma for being so bold as to point out how math works.

If you want accurate values, you need to get comps and property assess a property.As far as future values go, you take take your best educated guess based on a variety of statistics (like job growth, population growth, increase in median wages, etc) but nobody has an accurate crystal ball.

I do wonder about the potential statistical increase in occupancy if you utilize leases.

I will give you a warning now that there is some high school level statistics referenced so you may want to refresh yourself.Monte Carlo SimulationsMonte Carlo simulations are a way of modeling forecasts when there are random/uncertain variables introduced that cannot be accounted for using a single value.

they tend to confuse the bank rates and cant understand why HML are higher LOL That right there in bold is the kicker.

I don't have any experience doing that, so it requires time, effort and boldness. 

https://www.statista.com/statistics/200223/median-apartment-rent-in-the-us-since-1980/If you take a look at this you will see how it works.

City state job growthCity state net migrationCity state job diversityhttp://www.best-cities.org/ - Milken Institute http://www.bestplaces.net – Sperling’s reports     Also check out where people are moving to and from by using the following:North American Moving Services: https://www.northamerican.com/migration-mapUnited Van Lines: https://www.unitedvanlines.com/contact-united/news/U-Haul: http://myuhaulstory.com/ and https://www.uhaul.com/About/Once you find a state or states then you can use some of these to drill down into MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area)http://www.census.gov/topics/population/population-projections/about.html - Population ProjectionsLocal Area Unemployment Stats By State: https://www.bls.gov/lau/ Seasonally Adjusted Metropolitan Area Estimates: https://www.bls.gov/lau/metrossa.htmI hope I didn't overwhelm you and Hope that helps.

I stand by my conclusion in my prior post. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1562401/000156240118000029/amh12311710k.htmhttps://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1562401/000156240118000029/amh12311710k.htmhttp://www.wakegov.com/tax/statistics/Pages/residentialsales.aspx