I’m curious people’s thoughts/predictions on commercial development.

“A correction is coming” we all feel it, but can’t quite predict it.

Out of curiosity, have any investors thought seriously about how the population drop predicted by people like Elon Musk will affect the real estate market?

What we discussed occured exactly as predicted except the family lost out on an additional "X" in value.The real kicker is 5 years later, when we were talking about the market, and what had transpired with the property, my grandmother chimed in, "Why didn't we build and do it ourselves?" 

The problem I believe so many are having in understanding and predicting this market is the lens through which it's being viewed. 

The way your market behaves is more predictable than bay area market, our market i extremely sensitive to rate changes esp in higher end market/zip code.

Whether the place you live in will become warmer or colder will depend on a number of factors and scientists do not know enough to predict that.Here's an article from the Woods Hole institute that speculates that the North-Eastern part of North America and the Western part of Europe will actually become colder due to global warming.http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?

The temperature may not be "Million of degrees", but neither of us can predict status of the ice at the poles in five years.

He was awesome predicting the long term Cali trends!

Yun's accuracy on past predictions, as I live in San Diego, well, La Jolla, and I'm from DC/Potomac, and neither market would I list in the top 20 post-big-recession.DC has the BRAC [military base realignment concentrations from closing military bases] plus of course the government expansion to stabilize housing prices and rents -- but that means in a market correction, there was less loss of value and fewer foreclosures than national average -- so MANY other cities have far better cash flow numbers for multifamily properties than DC, for our market [b and c undervalued multifamily]So, I'll assume Mr.