You are, in fact, rolling the dice and hoping your spreadsheet is predicting the future accurately when you try to judge ARV.

It's very difficult to predict what changes will occur in the state, region or even on neighboring properties that will impact appreciation.

So $650- $486.80 = $163.20.I guess the $163.20 is my predicted cash flow based on the rule of thumb that %50 of my total rents will go to expenses.

Use the S&P 500 right now, even though indexes are dynamic and change over time, the Dow is departing from its historical operations so it has lost some forecasting ability-but it still has the psychological aspect of that's what people hear and talk about most of the time.I've noticed that about a year ago, most of what I read predicted a low of around 600 for the S&P 500 (only -15% more from here!).

Hi BP community, pardon my ignorance but as many economist are predicting the buble to once again pop (this time with worse consequences), is section 8 safe?

man, that sure does appear to be an overheated/bubble market but no one can predict the future.congrats - if you can make $ on your 1st flip, you are in the minority.

If you can predict (guess??)

A lot of people predicted a market softening and it never happened.

Hey BP, I own a duplex next to the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

We went to Penn State so football games is their only exposure.