The other bit of my question is whether anyone's opinion is changed at all by the commonly held idea that the market may be topping out a bit.

I recently read the book rich dad poor dad, and it changed my life.

To my mind, if you want to get the information about particular real estate market fast, ask the real east agents in this area.

I'm wondering if any of you have incorporated climate change considerations (drought, sea levels, wildfires, ...) into your investment location decisions.

@Abdul Azeez, I think that the problem is that you are stacking the deck against yourself trying to do all of these things on your first deal:1) Purchasing the property from an online auction site / bank, which is notoriously tricky even for the experienced investor, due to their proprietary contracts and minimal due diligence period and strict deadlines.2) Working with a new contractor that you haven't used before, or seen their work before, and who may not be used to dealing with investors.3) Trying to get conventional financing on a property that has a short closing time and where the mechanical systems cannot be tested.4) Working on your first deal by yourself instead of partnering with a local investor who can guide you along, or at least a mentor who you can turn to with questions.My advice is to make it easier on yourself by considering buying a property with a standard contract and longer due diligence period, network with local investors who can provide you contractor contacts and also some guidance, and consider using private financing or hard money instead of bank financing.In my opinion, buying from the online auction sites is a more advanced strategy that you can use once you are able to ballpark construction costs yourself and/or you have a trusted contractor you've worked with before and/or you have private financing or hard money set up so you can close fast and/or you can purchase the property without interior access and hope to get lucky in terms of condition (but still buy at a price where you are comfortable doing a full rehab if necessary without losing much money) and/or you are familiar with agreement of sale contracts and closings in your state so you can assess the risks of using the bank's seller-friendly contract.You're already doing the right things by asking questions on this forum, and taking action.  

Bought splendid home at sheriff's auction after foreclosure; now (in Oregon, at least) the previous owner has 180 days to redeem the property, paying me (via the Sheriff, I guess) the auction price plus change.  

@Stephen Sawrie,In my opinion, you are 100% right about that.The way I look at it is this - say you have appreciation of 2% (our historic is about 3.5 in this area) and loan pay down of 2% (obviously changes as the loan goes along) and cash flow of about 8%. 

The key is that 2 year work history that you'll need to establish.In certain circumstances you can use the income before you even receive your first paystub (certain relocation and job change scenarios), however typically you'll need to receive atleast 1 paystub to use it.If you have had no work within the last 12 months preceeding this new job then you may need to be on this job for a min of 6 months before you can close on this new loan which would hamper your plans to close within 45 days on this duplex.Then again scenario #3 if you have the credit and the down payment and the property cash flows from conventional underwriting perspective and you have "no credit card debts," on your credit report then you may be able to qualify any way since your debt to income or DTI will be 0% (property cash flows) no debt outstanding to qualify for as the duplex will be adding income to your scenario.I've had an underwriter okay scenario #3 above but have never funded a deal like.

I figure people looking for jobs might need to sell fast, but won't necessarily show up on any of the other lists, thereby decreasing, or eliminating, my competition. 

Since it is our practice to analyse a property using the posted rate - and then obtain a variable rate mortgage 2%+ lower, but set out payments as though we were paying a 5-yr fixed at the posted rate ... it will be not change for us ;-)