Society, technology, etc continue changing overtime but the way people act is still fundamentally the same, which is why the cycle will continue.Summary:2006: peak of the cycle and beginning of the 18 year cycle repeating itself2007-2011: 4 years of decline2012 - 2019: 7 years of an appreciating market plus 2020 & 2021 due to COVID and low rates.2022-2023: mid cycle slowdown caused by rate hikes but home prices still rising2024-2026+: Home price growth continues especially due to extremely low inventory, inflation, and other macro factors.2012 - 2026: generally sees 14 years of price growth, completing the cycle.Before everyone comes in and starts telling me I'm wrong, I encourage you to read the book and then see if you still feel the same way.

@Jay Dave if you are not already, I strongly encourage you to join RHAWA (The Rental Housing Assoc of WA) and/or have a good attorney on standby. 

Hey @Dave Anderson       If you want to make this scalable and repeatable, I would highly encourage you to start with your end goal in mind.

Our attorneys and escrow officers specialize in subject to, wraps, land contracts and so on, so we greatly encourage using our sources.

That encouragement means a lot man!

@Samuel Diouf thanks for encouraging words!

The other way that I encourage people to look at whether they should invest in real estate at a specific time is to examine the other options available to them (ie.

A typical small multifamily deal for us is to acquire a shell between $100K to $300K- (2 to 4 unit); Spend $200K to $300K to renovate- then rent each unit between $2000-3500 per month. i encourage investments outside of the major metropolitan areas but was advising this first-time investor to not forget the bottom line ROI. 

These strategies can sometimes offer better cash flow compared to traditional LTR, especially in markets where property prices and rents do not align with the 1% rule.I encourage you to expand your criteria and consider these alternative strategies.

It almost certainly will.I'd encourage you to focus on more than just cash flow, because you most certainly have the income to "float" the difference until it does cashflow better!