Ok so here is what my numbers look like (being conservative).
I will try to keep my math here simple. Each prospect costs .20 to generate from listsource. I plan to mail 6 letters over the course of 6 months to each costing .75 per letter (stationary, stamp, envelope, ect). That is a total cost of $4.70 per prospect over 6 months, I have 1800 prospects and that is a total of $8,460 if I mail all 6 letters to all prospects. Being conservative I will assume that any lead that converts will be on the 6th touch.
If I am converting .25% of the 1800 from prospects to a signed contract I get 4.5 deals. Being conservative I would round down and say 4 signed deals. My break even price on each deal would be $2115.
Now I know I can count on $1500 per deal but was hoping to average $2500 with a best case of making $5000 (again being very conservative).
So my take away on this is that in a worse case deal I loose 615, I average making 385, or best case make 2885 after marketing expenses included. This is me assigning contracts mind you nothing else.
Those numbers seem very grim. This does not include any expenses outside of marketing. At these numbers by the time I added in earned wage taxes, gas, supplies, phone bill, unknown cost, and the time it takes to sort through all of the information, talk to sellers, and closing the deal I think I would still be upside down averaging 4k a deal.
If my numbers are off please correct me.