Originally posted by @David C.:
@Walt Payne nice twist there Walt! 'settle for 50k of income' haha.
I said 'first 50k' is essentially never taxed at all - not taxed when I saved it, barely taxed on the way out. 50k/year of my retirement free on both ends.
Have you done the math? I'll be honest, I haven't. And I do both Roth and 401(k), to bet a little bit against myself being wrong.
If you are close to retirement, you really think that your retirement income will be higher than your current income? Is that because you see yourself running out of depreciation expense as you age and keep properties? or fewer interest deductions?
Or do you expect a bump in the top tax rates in the next 5 years? So you think: today I'm in the top bracket, and when I retire, I'll still be in the top bracket, and the top bracket will go up between now and then? So you see the 39% bracket jumping to what? and my g-d that only kicks in after 457,000/year for married filers. We are in a different world if you are suffering that tax rate now, and expect to in the future!
Ahhh, but you see that "first 50k" is really the TOP 50k of your income when you take it out because if you get it out tax free you have $50k less taxable income. So (if taxable) the 401K money is essentially paying taxes of at least the amount you are paying for the highest dollar amount you make that year, even if it doesn't kick you up a bracket.
Do I think I will be in a higher tax bracket? I would love to be. But if not, I will not be in a lower one. I have significant seed money for my investments from years of saving and investing in more than just the stock market, and I am well on my way. That will fund my semi-retirement into full time REI, while still getting significant income from my current employer as a 1099 contractor.
From there, I will make enough to create a truly passive portfolio and retire. My plan is to take that money (which could currently match my income) and get to a point of at least doubling my current income. And that is not including anything from Social Security. As for the $457K/yr ... not yet, but if I get there I want as much of that as possible to be tax free. Even at 30% taxes that is a significant chunk.
The other thing to consider is that if the IRS or congress changes the rules/laws on Roth accounts, or if you wanted to use the money elsewhere, you can withdraw the full principle amount with no taxes or penalties once the account is 5 yrs. old since you have paid taxes on that money already. Only the earnings need remain in the account until age 59 1/2.