We're considering an off-market single-family house in Exposition Park neighborhood of Los Angeles. It's a 1400 square foot 3+2 Spanish-style home built in 1935. It needs a lot of work. A burst water pipe under the house warped the wood flooring, so it needs all new floors. With that amount of water damage, we are aware of the possibility of mold. In addition the home is needing a new kitchen, bathrooms, electrical, plumbing, paint, landscape, etc. etc.... The detached garage in back has been converted to a crude, un permitted living area.
We haven't presented an offer yet. We feel this house needs a minimum of $80K (and possibly more) to renovate it. We are trying to estimate a valid ARV. Around the corner, there's a smaller (1062 sq ft, 2 + 1) yet completely renovated (to a very high standard) that's just gone on the market for $649K... but that's just the asking price. We're keeping an eye on this one.
We realize that the West Adams neighborhood is very hot right now, and Jefferson Park is turning, but we're not quite seeing that in the Exposition Park neighborhood. The rest of this street has some decent homes and some not so great ones.
We think we might (might, might) be able to get this for $475K, though the owner said he already turned down a "soft offer" at that price. Maybe a solid offer will motivate him. Of course, we'd want a full inspection of the foundation and potential mold issue. We could easily be int this property for $575K-$600K. Is there enough room in this market to make a decent profit on this?
What's the consensus on market trends in this area? Any thoughts on ARV for this size house in this neighborhood?