@Justin Goodin
Thank you for the topic, it's a valid conversation topic. I remember in 2009 when I bought my first piece of real estate, I was ready to get started. The media and news were promoting the broken economy, massive job losses, and a collapsed stock market, but I knew that I was ready to start my pursuit into real estate. Most people I asked at that time said something to the tune of “I would wait and see what happens…” - The timing may not have right for them.
A few years later, I remember making the leap from single-family investing to multifamily investing (2015). Once again… I knew I was ready to get started. But was it the right time? Cap rates were slightly higher and cash on cash was slightly higher than today. Does that mean that today it’s too late? In 2015, the media and news were reporting on North Korea issuing a nuclear warning to the US and it was about to be an election year in 2016 with a lot of uncertainty in the market. Gurus like Robert Kiyosaki and Peter Schiff were calling for a MASSIVE meltdown in the economy and stock market. But I was ready to start a new pursuit as a passive investor.
I tend to agree with your assessment "I think cap rates will continue to compress, I think rent growth will still happen in select markets, and the Fed will keep rates low." Additionally, I continue to invest as an LP with experienced operators who underwrite conservatively and have a solid track record. But just because it's the right time for me in 2021, doesn't make it the right time for anyone else. There is a lot of psychology that plays into investing. Thank you for the topic.
Is It The Right Time For You?