Good afternoon! I have a few options regarding my current residential home and rolling it over to other more promising investments. I am a part time real estate investor and I work for the Federal Government. I am 52 and finally took action this year and purchased some real estate investments. I own 2 in Cleveland with 1 more in the works and I am in the process of purchasing 1 in Houston. My job will take me to Germany for several years. I live in Sierra Vista Arizona and a good part of its economy is tied to the Base nearby. The county and area I live in has been going through a depression since 2010. Most of Arizona has rebounded but my town has not due in part to drawdowns on the base and many commercial stores have closed. The city council is trying to diversify and bring in more industry but this is an extremely long term 10-20 year plan with no guarantee. As a result of the economic downturn there is still foreclosures on the market which has pulled down local real estate prices although this is leveling off.
Population is at a net loss over the past few years and millennials are not clamoring to get out here but it does draw lots of retirees and federal government employees (military, Border Patrol, other federal agencies). I have a 3/2 house (1300 sq ft built in 2000) which is paid off although I have a $60k HELOC on it which is a variable interest currently at 5.25. I used the HELOC to purchase two investment properties in Cleveland earlier this year. I checked with my bank and I can get a fixed rate 20 year at 5.74.
Rental market is weak here and my house used to rent for $1100 but now rents for 850-950 due to lack of demand currently. While I am in Germany my housing will be taken care of. Comps for my house come in between $137k to $143k and average time on market at this price is 60 days. My wife is on board to sell and take leftover to invest in other more promising markets. We plan to test the market for 90 days and if we don't get any offers we plan to rent.
So my question is with a potentially economic downturn coming.
1- Should I just keep and hold? Is there any benefit to doing so? Am I missing something? House is in nice mostly owner occupied neighborhood with mainly older couples and retirees. Feel pretty confident that we would get $950 a month for it. Will the house slowly continue to appreciate?
2- Just sell it? If I had to do it all over again would I buy in this town for investing? No I would not. Houses in this prices range are currently the fastest selling in my market and we have fixed it up quite nicely and we are not in a bind to sell so we don't need to give it away. Fresh paint inside and out, and back yard is landscaped (rock) with fruit trees and a Santa Fe style 10x20 sq' Pergola. We don't care to live here and we are not in love with the house. If work brings me back we will just rent another house. Accountant has told me that we won't pay any capital gains.
Appreciate any thoughts on this
V/r
Tim