The construction trade (west central Florida) around us has basically died. There is literally no new building in the area and those that were in construction have disappeared from the area along with their families, no jobs, and HD and Lowes are not hiring.
Combination of stupidity, arrogance, and just plain bad advice made the situation even worse when the local politicans decided to raise the impact fees for new construction and for converting office space to new usages.
Results are of course, empty commercial buildings,and we mean completely empty buildings, whole strip malls with not one tenant, and no new home construction.
As far as home improvement and repairs, that is far less then it used to be, as people seem to be afraid to spend the money, causing again less work and talent leaving the area.
This has had a weird side effect in that finding someone to do work for you has become difficult, as they all booked, and more expensive.
This has caused a ripple effect in the area. Restaurants are always half empty, used to be you needed to call ahead to go to Outback on a weekend, no more. At 7:00 pm, prime time here, it is 3/4 empty.
This means that half the waiters and waitresses that used to work there are
gone and those that remain are making far less money then they used to.
One of our tenants is a waitress and she has gone from 4-days a week to 6, with a couple of double-shifts in the mix, and she is still making less money then she used to. One night she even made
nothing, the first time that has ever happened.
She even complained that the "snowbirds" that should have started to arrive, are nowhere to be seen as yet, not a good sign for the services around here.
We have a couple duplexes, and this is where we are seeing the most effect, rents already down 10%, another 5% coming off as we speak.
The young couples, families, that we would normally get seem to be moving
back in with family. Actually in one duplex, both sides are leaving this winter
to move in with family to save money.
No end to the unemployed, evicted, and just bad tenant requests, two or three a day, but no decent tenant requests in the two weeks we have been running ads on the coming openings.
I am sure other landlords are accepting them, we are not. We will just continue to lower rent until we find suitable tenants and chalk it off to the economy.
The SFRs are also down 10% in rent, but filled and no-one is moving out as yet. We are priced below market and have superior quality so hopefully this will remain the case.
Looks like it is going to be tough to fill empty units, the only positive
on the horizon is we are only two months till tax season.In the meantime,
we will be reducing rent again and beginning to run specials in order to fill
the duplexes.
Budget for the coming year, will rise to expect 10 to 15% vacancy rate. Luckily, we have lots of pricing flexibility and hopefully will weather the storm, highly leveraged owners will not be so lucky.