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All Forum Posts by: Account Closed

Account Closed has started 9 posts and replied 99 times.

Post: Short Sales - Encouraged by Treasury

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Why does this mean anything? The Banks are not forced to do this, so isn't this just more noise amounting to not a damn thing?

Post: Do I have any recourse?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

What about the Seven-Day notice with Cure due to harassment?

Write up everything. She reported a water damaged laptop? In Writing, if not make her sign every complaint and when you have enough issue the notice.

In Florida, we may issue a seven-day notice with cure, and then when any single event occurs after such notice, you may begin eviction, no cure is available.

The key is get everything documented.

If she is on Section 8, the first seven-day should be enough to get her to cut it out,
or she may lose her benefits.

Post: Christmas Gifts For Tenants

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Christmas cards to all tenants going out the week after Thanksgiving. Every year, the same thing.

Post: Let’s start 2010 Goals Early

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Get our new system into production late in December or early in January.

Hold the line on the current portfolio and keep as close to 100% occupied as is possible. Hope for no more then a 10% drop in year-on-year receipts, but reality is, so we will see.

No new purchases unless they are just too good to pass up.

Relax a bit more, enjoy this time of good health and just be happy.

Post: What to do in a slow rent market?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Similar circumstances here. What is a really nice unit, the newest tenant complemented us on the best shape they saw, but the reality is we dropped our price from 535, rented 18 months ago, to 465 now on an all tile, clean little 2-bedroom unit.

One year lease, really nice good tenants who we believe will take care of the place and pay on time.

We dropped it low and fast as we are going into December, and December is not a good month to rent except to the evicted, and after Xmas doesn't pick up till mid-January.

Thats a 13% drop in rent but had only three weeks empty and avoided the dreaded three-four month empty draw.

As far as a price war, we couldn't care less. We are not in business to co-suffer with other competitors and now we are in basic survival mode.

We have an edge as we have no mortgages, good, clean places and we will use that edge to minimize the impact on our business.

Hope this doesn't last too much longer but we are aren't very optimistic at the moment.

In the meantime, it is survival of the fittest, economically fittest.

Post: What to do with this small kitchen? (Pic)

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Sorry meant 8%, mixed up the months and percentage..

Post: What to do with this small kitchen? (Pic)

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Terrible advice folks.

This is a rental. Putting in a new kitchen should be done only as a last resort.
There is no reason to burn this money.

Wood floors ? NO, ceramic tile when new floors are required and not until then. AN what I see looks great. New sink and counter tops, waste of money ..

This kitchen looks fine. If you need to, paint the cabinents or touch them up with a furniture pencil, and put new contact paper inside the cabinets so that they are clean. Polish everything up and make it look immaculate.

The lights are fine and functional. Make sure the refrig and oven are immaculate as should be stove pans, replace then if they are not, 10.00 at Walmart.

If the place is not renting it is because you are asking too much or their are other problems. Check your comps in Craigslist and be the best at the lowest price. Drop to one month security from first, last and security if that is what's up.

Remember, one month empty reduces your rent for the year by 12%, so one month empty is the same as reducing your rent by that amount. Tossing in thousands is not the answer, marketing and proper pricing is.

Spending money on this is a waste, do not do it, drop the rent until you lease it. Do not throw good money away. Renters will not take care of it anyway, it is a rental.

Clean it, spruce it up, drop the rent, don't waste precious cash. Use the cash for your next house.

You are looking in the wrong area.

Post: Stock Option Trading?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Arbitrage is the only trading model that works and is the model used by almost all market makers.

LTCM was a beta house and that is how the lost their money, they had loads of money in correlation trades especially in the bond areas, not pure arbitrage.

The Goldman Fund that melted down recently was another example of a Beta fund, tracking correlations between obsure unrelated securities. When the betas broke down, they lost a fortune.

Pure arbitragers consistently make money when properly managing their risk. The basis for the arbitrage model is the basic and expanded option pricing models.

"Options as a Strategic Investment" was my first options book but is more of a trading book for beginners then a real explanation of the arbitrage model, though it is brought up toward the end of the book.

"Option Pricing and Investment Strategies" by Richard M Bookstaber ,was the book that really turned on the light bulb for me.

For a deep math understanding, though a tough book and required reading when we were on the street, "Options, Futures, and Other Derivative Securities" by John Hull.

An easier and more readable book, "Black-Scholes and Beyond" by Neil A Chriss. A nice discussion of different models and limitations. It also has a toolkit that you can get to play with the models.

Comparison of different option models,
"From Black Scholes to Black Holes" from Risk/Finex.

For the pure Buying and Selling of volatility trading approach, this is what we use today mostly for longer-term market neutral vol plays on liquid issues, "Buying and Selling Volatility" by Kevin B Connolly is a good, simple book.

But you had better polish off one or two of the others first as it expects you to have a full understanding of the options model and greek-based risk management.

Once you have a basic understanding of Options, there are some great resources on the web that you can use for trade research and play. The first actaully can be useful for a starter.

http://www.cboe.com/

The CBOE has some tutorials. Under their Trading Tools in the Volatility Optimizer area is a nice option pricer ties into a volatility database. A really good site for the beginner and pro alike.

http://www.optionstrategist.com/

For Historical volatility data, McMillan, same as "Options as a Strategic Investment" fame, has a web site where you can down load them for free.

You can consistently make money with options if you study first and fully understand your risk, otherwise you can lose your money so fast you will scratch your head wondering what just happened.

Most option traders lose as they do not have the patience to fully learn or to follow the models, and instead of following a well-designed trading scheme, react to the stress of their own mishedged risk profiles.

It can take years off your life, there are not many older traders.

These days we mostly do longer-term long and short vol plays, and make some nice returns on cash invested with minimal stress.

If you follow through on your interest, I recommend you take a lot of time an study, trade on paper first, and you will have a nice new tool for investing.

Post: I'm curious... What was your first deal?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

What was your first deal?

-> A townhouse forclosure that I spent 29,000 on when the similar values were at least 50% above that.

2. What were your goals when you first started out?
-> Property value appreciation for retirement

3. How did the deal end up?
-> Good at the start, nice return on investment until a tenant trashed it and left me with incredible damages and no way to recover.

Compounded this by never having renovated before and made every mistake in the book, Bad contractors with no insurance did lousy work, 15$ a sq yard carpets that were destoryed before the unit was even re-rented, a water leak during renovation, too many appliances, garbage disposal, masher/dryer, etc..

Altogether spent close to 25,000 renovating, tile counter-tops, new roof, the works..

That was more then 20 years ago, now the unit is worth 130,000, down from 210,000, due to the late troubles.

4. What kind of deals are you doing now?
-> Same type of rentals with appreciation potential, but very difficult to value prospects due to the rental situation, so my bids tend to be VERY LOW.

5. How is what you are doing now different from what your goals were when you started?
-> No different then then.

6. Is there any advice that you would have given yourself when you first started to help yourself from making a mistake or wrong decision?
-> Stay away from wood frame houses, cinder block only. They stand up better.

Stay away from multi-level units, especially with a bath upstairs, stick with ranch style houses.

Renovate for low maintenance, make the units as indestrucible as possible.

Go to self-insurance as soon as the mortgage is paid off and you can put up a repairs account with enough cash in it.

Post: Google Wave

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Sentenhart, Wald
  • Posts 110
  • Votes 75

Just requested a trial as well. Sleeping at the switch here...