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All Forum Posts by: Samuel Lynch

Samuel Lynch has started 24 posts and replied 102 times.

Post: Some things you want to know before investing passively in multifamily

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46
Quote from @Justin Moy:

Track record in an asset class they're investing in. There have been really big operators who have stalled out because they've always done market rate multifamily and then pivoted to something else. Even if it's very similar like market rate multi to LIHTC. 

There are always growing pains on those first few deals so I always dive into their experience in that market and with that niche, being very strict that they have to have worked that exact niche before. Not just in multifamily, but if it's a LIHTC or tax credit deal, I want to see experience there.


 100%. That's why step 1 in the original post is so important.

Post: Some things you want to know before investing passively in multifamily

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46
Quote from @Evan Polaski:

@Samuel Lynch, I complete agree with @Peter Tverdov's comment. As I always think of it: a 3rd party manager is incentivized by a fee based on revenue (good thing) but only to control expenses enough to not get fired (bad thing).  I think we have all worked with people in the past who did just enough to "not get fired".

Vertical integration means controlling income AND expenses.  It also creates more fluid communication between the asset management and operating teams to be able to best diagnose and resolve issues faster.


I agree as well. In-house management company trumps all. It seems rare to find a PM company that checks all the boxes. 

Post: Real estate syndication literature or training

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46

The Hands-Off Investor by Brian Burke is one of the most detailed book on investing in a syndication. Does a solid job of explaining all aspects of being a passive investor. It's also smart if the GP team is well-versed in the book so they know how to communicate effectively with their investors. 

Being part of a mastermind group such as the Jake and Gino community is also another solid choice to educate yourself on everything multifamily.

Post: Some things you want to know before investing passively in multifamily

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46
Quote from @Chris Seveney:

First question we ask, send me your last quarterly report and financial statement and T12 you sent to investors. If they cannot provide that information, then its a simple way to move on and not consider that sponsor. .


 Another great addition. It all goes into due diligence into the credibility of the sponsor team. 

Post: Some things you want to know before investing passively in multifamily

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46
Quote from @Peter Tverdov:

Who is managing the property? That is arguably the most important factor. They're driving the bus and can make or break your investment. 


 That's a great addition. The asset manager should be able to explain if the property manager is a 3rd party manager or if the sponsors also have an in-house PM company. 

Post: Some things you want to know before investing passively in multifamily

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46

Step 1: Evaluate the Sponsor Team - Your Pilots:

Just as the pilot is crucial for a safe and efficient flight, the sponsorship team plays a vital role in your investment journey. A great deal can crumble with a bad team, while a mediocre deal can transform into a great one with a rock-solid team.

So how do you evaluate the sponsor team (general partners)?

Begin by looking at their track record. There may be someone on the General Partner (GP) team who is educated but inexperienced. But as a team, they should have experience in finding the deal, underwriting it, conducting due diligence, securing financing, developing the business plan, and ultimately executing on the business plan.

Evaluate their performance in terms of acquiring, managing, and selling the type of property they are presenting. A team with a consistent track record of generating attractive returns for investors demonstrates their expertise and competence.

As part of their track record, an effective team should possess a deep understanding of the market in which they operate. Thorough market research, including local economic factors, supply and demand dynamics, and trends, is essential. Ask the team about their knowledge of the specific submarket they are targeting and how they plan to capitalize on emerging opportunities. A team that can demonstrate a comprehensive understanding of the market is more likely to make informed investment decisions.

More important than their track record, in my opinion, are their values. A great indication of a team's values is how they communicate. Open and regular communication is vital in maintaining a healthy partnership between the GPs and LPs because it builds trust. Inquire about the team's communication practices, including the frequency of updates and reporting. A reputable team will provide timely, and more importantly, transparent information regarding the investment's progress, challenges, and performance. A passive investor needs to be able to trust the GPs, and clear, open, and transparent communication is foundational to trust.

Step 2: Evaluate the Market - Charting Your Course:

Market conditions and dynamics greatly influence the potential success of an investment opportunity. Just as you would want to evaluate the GP team's market and submarket knowledge, you also want to do a bit of market research yourself to ensure accuracy.

Look for economic factors such as job growth, unemployment rate trends, population growth, and how diverse and robust the local economy is. Additionally, look for crime trends specifically in the deal's location. The following are trends you are looking for:

  • -Rising job/employment growth year over year.
  • -Shrinking unemployment rates year over year and quarter over quarter.
  • -Steady increasing population growth for the past 10 years.
  • -Shrinking crime stats year over year.
  • -Consistent rental growth year over year.
  • -Median household income supports the rent growth.
  • -Consistently shrinking or low vacancy rates.
  • -Diverse industry. Are there many industries in the area driving economic and job growth, or is the market being supported by one large industry that, if they packed up and moved out of town, the local economy would collapse?

Some great resources to find this information are , the website, the website, website, and or website, just to name a few. For crime data, a simple Google search of the submarket crime data or calling the local police department and asking them about the neighborhood will help gain significant awareness of where the neighborhood is headed. More importantly, ask the GP team where they gathered their market research from.

At the end of the day, only invest with a GP team that has experience and you trust because you know they act with integrity. That is why step 1 is the most important.

Step 3: Evaluate the Financials - Counting the Mile Markers:

Once you have a good idea of the demand and rental growth in the market, it's time to move on to the deal-specific financials. The GP team should provide you with this. You'll most likely see this in their offering document or investor presentation. If not, ask for items like the trailing 12 (T12) profit and loss (P&L) statement, rent roll, and how the team conducted the underwriting.

Income potential: Can this deal demand more income based on the GP team's business plan and market data you gathered in step 2? Consider factors such as occupancy rates and rental growth in the area. Assess the stability of the income streams that the property is projected to generate.

Assess operating expenses: Carefully analyze the operating expenses associated with the property. These expenses include taxes, insurance, property management, maintenance and repairs, contract services, utilities, legal and administrative fees, and other overhead costs. Review the historical data from the T12 and P&L statements and compare them to projected expenses after taking over the property. Scrutinize any significant increases and decreases in expenses and understand the reasons behind them.

Review financing and debt structure: Assess the terms of the loan, including the interest rate, loan duration, amortization period, and any prepayment penalties. Understand the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio and the impact of leverage on the investment return. Consider the debt coverage service ratio (DSCR) to evaluate the property's ability to generate sufficient cash flow to cover debt obligations.

Step 4: Evaluate the Business Plan/Investment Strategy - Navigating the Route:

Take a close look at the business plan. It should outline their goals, objectives, and the strategies they intend to implement to achieve them. Consider whether the plan aligns with your investment objectives and risk tolerance. Look for a clear vision and a well-thought-out roadmap that demonstrates the team's expertise and understanding of the market.

Many multifamily investments offer value-add opportunities, where the GP team plans to make improvements to the property to increase its value and generate higher returns. Assess the viability and feasibility of these value-add initiatives. Are they supported by market demand? Do they align with the current and projected trends in the local rental market?

A robust business plan should address potential risks and outline strategies to mitigate them. Evaluate how the GP team plans to handle challenges such as economic downturns, increased competition, or changes in market conditions. Look for contingency plans, risk diversification strategies, and proactive measures to protect investors' interests. A comprehensive risk management approach demonstrates the team's commitment to safeguarding your investment.

Understand the GP team's exit strategy for the investment. Every good story has an ending, and every investment needs an exit strategy. How do they plan to generate liquidity and provide returns to investors? Assess whether the proposed exit strategy aligns with your investment horizon and goals. Consider factors such as market conditions, the projected holding period, and potential exit avenues such as refinancing, selling, or holding the property long-term. A well-defined exit strategy showcases the GP team's foresight and their ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

What else would you add?

Post: Multi family: good sources of data for analyzing different markets to invest?

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46

Outside of experience in the market, check out the multifamily quarterly reports put out by berkadia for overall market metrics. You can build a spreadsheet and input the data going back years to establish trends. Then compare with multiple markets in the region you are looking at getting into. 

Also use the census data pull to look at population trends for the past 10-20 years, median household income, etc. Look at the BLS.gov for employment and unemployment trends.

Neighborhoodscout.com is another good resource.

For finding rental trends, take a look at zumper.com. You can create a table based on how many bedrooms. Keep in mind, this doesn't give you the what the signed lease rents are, but what the listing rents are. But you can see by the rents the following month, what the previous bedroom sized place rented for. Remember though, this is for the overall market. Not really niched down to the specific block where you find a property at. The best way to accurate rental and expenses data would be to talk to multiple property management companies in the market then average out what they tell you.

Anyway, enough rambling from me. Hopefully this gets you started on the right path.

Post: Multifamily focused masterminds?

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46

Highly recommend looking into the Jake and Gino community. They have a great education and mastermind platform, Wheelbarrow Profits. Detailed information about every aspect of the business with a lot of high level people who are more than willing to help you along the journey. Good opportunities for partnerships and education. But as with any mastermind, what you get out of it is all about how much you put into it. If you put in the work, are coachable, and willing to learn then you'll get A LOT out of it.  

Post: Oahu Real Estate Investor Meetup

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46

You are invited to join us on July 15th starting at 12pm at the Lokahi Brewing Company (Mezzanine area) for networking opportunities. Doesn't matter your experience level. Just show up, network, and learn from eachother.

There will be multifamily investors, flippers, private lenders, etc. so bring your business cards and connect with other likeminded folks!

We are limiting this to only 20 people due to the size of the venue so make sure you register here:

https://www.eventbrite.com/e/oahu-real-estate-investor-meetup-tickets-670099976067?aff=oddtdtcreator

Post: Raising Capital Business Plan

Samuel Lynch
Posted
  • Realtor
  • Jacksonville, NC
  • Posts 107
  • Votes 46

Definitely plan to highlight "why you" and surround yourself with a team of experienced multifamily operators that you'll partner with. People will invest with people they like, know, and trust. Track record of the team (you and your partners) go a long way in building that trust.