Originally posted by @Felix L.:
Originally posted by @Darren Sager:
" If NYC wasn't such a good investment on a long term basis why would it be attracting so much investment from people around the world? "
I would like to be able to invest in NYC but the Purchase Price vs. Rent ratio there doesnt seem to fit into any of the cashflow criteria that are being discussed here in this forum(ex: the 2% and the 50% rule), or am I missing something?
It's very difficult to follow even the 1% rule in NYC because of extremely high housing prices. The average single family home is currently selling for $554k in the five boroughs.
Now, say you go for an older 3br in a below average neighborhood. Say Fordam (Queens), East New York (Brooklyn), or Mariner's Harbor (Staten Island). Houses that fit that description in those areas hover around the $325-$425k range. Say you get lucky and find one that needs no improvement for $325k. Rents for 3br homes in those areas are anywhere from $1600-$1900. Say you get the median of $1750. Average property tax being roughly $4k a year or about $350/month in those areas.
$1750x50%=$875
A mortgage at current rates with 20% down will be about $1200/month. That means you're negative -$325/month.
It is VERY hard to get a positive cash flow on rental properties in NY, unless you already down the property of course. Even if you score an excellent deal (Say around $200k) on a 3br sf in those areas you just make around $125 positive cash flow on the property. Unless you section 8 the property (Which in those areas you'd pretty much have to), you'd be dealing with tenants that will probably not only have payment issues, but with squatting. Squatters usually get 6 months until eviction in NYC, and sometimes more if they claim disability or something else. I knew somebody who squatted in an apartment for 2 years!
But, properties do increase in value in NYC. So, if you're able to break even with a rental for a few years, you could probably make the monthly $125 back if the property stays in good condition. You might even make money if you take the property that has a -$325 loss every month, because chances are that $325k in 2 years that property will go up in value a few points. If it goes up 5% in 2 years you'll make $8450 in equity after you factor in your monthly loss.
So if you're willing to buy and hold and pay out a bit in the short run, you might be able to sit on that appreciating asset and make a few bucks (But don't forget transfer costs and taxes :)