Hi everyone, Steve Olson here and I work with Norada, who is assisting Jamie in locating investment properties. Some great points on this thread from some people in the Memphis market I have known a long time and respect.
@Jamie Henkin, looking forward to chatting with you more about this tomorrow.
I'll throw my hat in the ring everyone else here and say that this isn't a B class property. Norada's website uses some 3rd party data to determine neighborhood class and it works most of the time. But in this case, it didn't, for a couple of reasons 1) @Alex Craig (while his choice in sports teams is questionable, his knowledge of Memphis and Little Rock real estate is not) made a great point about some good B class areas being just down the street. In a midwestern market like Memphis where neighborhoods change quickly, a tool that relies exclusively on "distance" might not do the trick. You'll see some good data but it may not apply to your property (the reverse is true as well). 2) The use of "A, B, C" neighborhoods isn't always an apples to apples conversation. There seems to be some disagreement out there about what these letters mean, yet many talk about them like they're talking about the same thing. Many times they aren't. In this thread however, I agree with how everyone is using them. C neighborhoods = potential if you know what your'e doing and are on the ground...but C neighborhoods often = big problems for out of state investors who want a more hands off approach.
It's not a perfect science, but I've noticed that in most midwestern markets like Memphis, Indianapolis, Kansas City, etc...Anything that has a true market rent of "around" $800 and below is almost definitely a "C" property. As you move higher into the $800's and approach $1,000, you're likely in "B" territory, and as you pull away from $1,000 you're getting into the A's. At least by my standards anyway. This is a great way to quickly tell if there is a flaw in the data you're getting. A property that rents for $600 a month and is an "A" area just doesn't exist. It's a golden unicorn. Ask whoever you're working with about it because something is just off there.
The whole debate of "C" class properties really centers around expectations. I'll echo @Jay Hinrichs in saying that you're dealing with tenants here. And tenants in this price range are so much more volatile than say, $1,000 a month tenants. Out of state investors and many international can get sucked into a proforma and think they're basically buying a treasury bond with a guaranteed yield. Sure, it's low cost and looks very attractive. And like @Matt R. said, some savvy investors can really make these work because they have the right expectations and know how to drive these kinds of investments. But in the end, you have a HIGH chance of getting hammered by vacancy and turnover and then...your only exit is to another investor for a huge discount...and then the whole circle of life starts over again. @Jamie Henkin, you and I will talk tomorrow about how, given what you're trying to achieve here, a solid B class deal from somebody like @Alex Craig will be a much better choice. Talk to you tomorrow!