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All Forum Posts by: Account Closed

Account Closed has started 11 posts and replied 613 times.

Post: What questions should I ask during a wholesale deal.

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Robin Ferguson:

Hello Everyone,

I would like to develop a wholesaler questionairre for new leads. I am a newbie and seeking your feeback. What questions would be great to ask a new lead so I can have a bigger picture of the deal include ARV, rehab cost, purchase price etc... Thank you.

 Before getting into that... question #1 is if it is even legal to wholesale where you are located.

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Joseph Hennis:

@Account Closed did you even read the article you linked? Well, at least I did... Let me help you with what you missed.


If this is a bubble, where's the irrational exuberance?

 And when next you are on the CARs website, they also publish data on qualifying income for mortgages based on the amount of the mortgage. Look up qualifying income data while on there.

This is an example of what an Accountant makes in LA based on survey of some 700+ salaries by indeed. Now you tell me, what a salary of $58,000 can buy you in LA. Heres a hint, something in the $284,000 range. 

Median LA home prices is in the $700,000 range. Thats average, sketchy suspect neighborhoods. See below what the qualifying income would have to be for a "median" property in LA.

So you have an accountant not able to afford a home in LA yet you guys keep claiming to be in awe that someone would suggest there is an affordability crises.

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Joseph Hennis:

@Account Closed did you even read the article you linked? Well, at least I did... Let me help you with what 

If this is a bubble, where's the irrational exuberance?

Just about every LA investor I talk to 'feels' there is money everywhere in LA -- literally flowing in the streets. I show you labor department data showing median family income in LA to be in the $50,000 range and 2 times or more, less than the qualifying income for a median property in LA and you have the very same people try to tell me, well, "their parents can afford to buy the house for them" or that tech sector represent all of LA. What does that have to do with what we are talking about? They 'feel' a majority of residents in LA earn way in excess of $100,000. Are absolutely unbothered by negative cashflowing properties and cap rates approaching 1% territory in some areas. Feel that to value properties in LA, traditional standard valuation techniques and methodologies do not apply (evidence of a bubble and overinflated prices by the way - euphoria). 'Feel' is it irrational to expect properties to cash flow, rely excessively on appreciation as the primary play in LA. I even had someone had the nerve to tell me that in order to value a rental property in LA, you had to use rental growth rate of 10% or more. Get a grip! Price controls is not in place because regulators are just bored and feel like exercising.

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Matthew Olszak:
Originally posted by @DL Martin:

Mr Mike Fletcher is a Troll. 

More like just fishing for free SEO for the cheapo website in his profile. Replies to these threads that agree with him are responded to with more questionable statistics or off topic nonsense, and those that are against are again responded to with more off-topic stats. I usually like to read the "Trending Discussions", but this nonsense of Mike talking to himself for 10+ pages across various threads is getting old.

Very little substance on an otherwise great topic.

 It sounds more like you just like following Mike Fletcher around ... looking for your girl again? Wait, let me check... she aint here!

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Tobias Falzone:

I cringe when I hear people talk about how median income levels can't support home values. That should not surprise anyone. in LA, homeownership percentages are somewhere around 47% now. Using that number, median person doesn't own a house! It would be better to use a number closer to 75th percentile of income to describe the median homeowner, not the median person. That number in LA is close to 100k, and guess what, the median home values aren't completely out of whack with the median income of homeowners.

What exactly is close to $100,000? And what are you saying about median home values and median income?

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Matthew Olszak:
Originally posted by @Account Closed:
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

I knew he is trying to sell something.  I question if he even owns any property.  People on this and other threads have asked him for proof of his holdings and he keeps dodging the question.  I don't know if he's trying to sell property in Maryland, his website or what.  But yeah he's a troll.

 Why is it that with every post I make, I find the same few crawl out of whatever cave theyve been in to spread hatred and bitterness? This is worse than stalking. Here is a suggestion. Get a life!

Ok, I'll take the bait. What is the discussion you are trying to provoke? What are you trying to gain from this? People agree with you, and you find some way to respond rather obtusely with obscure stats as if you are against them, and people disagree with you, and you tell them they aren't on topic or you ignore their reasonable sources and years of experience and throw out more garbage. That's the value here, folk's individual experiences. You aren't looking for info or help, you are just badgering the same garbage to garner SEO rankings for your crap fundraising site.

 I think you must be one of them too... not sure who is paying you guys to follow me around, I mean stalk me, stirring up all these negativity or what you feel threatened by.... I would strongly suggest you find an alternate line of work... or find someone else to bother.

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Victor Gutierrez:

People let just be cautious and think twice at the moment of make investment, but I can tell there is something going on when I see people over paying for a lot of crapy houses

 There is some truth to this... not just overpaying. In many cases you have no credible way of ascertaining the value of the asset using standard industry valuation techniques. In LA, they'll want exemption from any and everything... 1% rule for instance, doesnt apply there, rental, were never meant to cash flow they'll tell ya. You know there is a problem when you buy a rental asset but when trying to value the asset, all you have ia a string of negative cash flows almost throught the entire holding period... banking solely on appreciation. I stopped counting the rules that dont aply to LA.

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Matt R.:

I think the guys from UCLA are not your typical government worker types. These guys are actually recruited worldwide for their research skills and known track records. 

 That'll do it. I need to own a sports team in California. It seems like people there are so emotional about anything California they often just get completely numb to the facts. 

Now you claim that UCLA is not a typical governemnt entity and that somehow, they recruit top notch economist and researchers who just so happen to know a thing or two about economics that economist and researchers at the federal reserve dont. Seriously?

You are talking about people  at the federal reserve in charge of managing the economy and formulating montary policy with far reaching global scope and consequence. 

Last time I checked, state of CA can hardly look past state of CA. Do you see the bias of your arguements? 

That is what is happening here... you guys get too emotional and start rambling all over the place.

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Jimmy Moncrief:

In most markets there is a supply shortgage.  I don't know how there can be a bubble when there is a supply shortage and increasing demand.

 You have to focus on what a bubble really is and its characteristics?  Asset value gets overinflated... the market price of the asset deviates drastically from its intrinsic value... a supply shortgage can actually trigger or significantly increase the formation of bubbles.

Post: Housing Bubble: Why it may be worse than previously thought

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Vivek Khoche:

@Account Closed-  Personally I do agree with you. I have seen two down turns and strongly believe there will be more down turns, next one certainly will not be last one. Today the folks writing about the strong market would write thesis on bubble bursts. International and wealthy  CA investors have dumped money wherever they can, we will see how long they can keep the properties vacant.

My commercial lender from one of the market I operate reduced my LOC to 68% from 80% of value as they strongly believe the prices are not realistic. He further told me that he stopped responding to CA investors for fresh loans.

It does not matter to me if bubble continues, if it does not I will be keeping fingers crossed.

Good Luck

Vivek

 lol :-) maybe he stopped responding to CA investors because the deal wasn't cash flowing? :-)