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All Forum Posts by: Account Closed

Account Closed has started 11 posts and replied 613 times.

Post: The mindset of the Cash Flow investor: LA vs Baltimore

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Amit M.:

@Dan H. No, but he sure has a groovy collection of GIF's, which are probably more valuable than some of that Baltimore real estate. 

 lol... whats really funny is I got complaints that the Raven wasn't a fair match up :) I thought may be try Chargers VS Rams, but it appears what was the SD Chargers is now the LA Chargers.

Post: Is leverage safe or risky?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:

Cash, is the ability of the person we give it to to do what we should have done with it in the first place, at an "exponential cost" to us based on our now lack of opportunity...and that we will be forever paying for.

 Another example of getting high off ones own logic. Cash is Cash.

Post: Had no idea Californians were spiritual

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147

Reminder: Discussion is about how LA housing price growth rate significantly exceeds its  wage growth rate, causing an affordability issue and concern for the investor (except of course you are from or live in LA it seems). As stated in the very initial post, refrain from trying to steer discussion into other areas. If you want to talk about how you grew up, or other irrelevant matters, surely you can start a thread for that.

Post: Had no idea Californians were spiritual

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Andrey Y.:

 Couldn't agree more. I grew up in Brooklyn from age 5-12. Thank god I got out when I did -- everyone I know from there has turned into materialistic trash who just tries to put others down due to a high degree of insecurity and a need to 'keep up with the Joneses'. Money can never substitute for being a nice person or appropriate civil discourse. Thankfully, most people learn this by their 30s or 40s, some never do.

Typically your genes come from your parents. I have no doubt what you just described may be some of your traits. I am sure Brooklyn did nothing to you. You do not represent Brooklyn or NYC. Don't try to blame Brooklyn for however you may have turned out. If everyone you knew turned out to be what you just said, that may just say something about you, not Brooklyn. I am sure this is exactly would you like to talk about, petty senseless ramblings. Its what those with no facts like to do.

Post: Had no idea Californians were spiritual

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Joe J.:

@Account Closed I just don't understand what bothers you so much when people provide personal insight?  

 I have noticed a few of you by the way.. specialize in jumping into a thread or conversation to stir up irrelevant disruptive arguments like clock work... the exact same people all the time. Its like you specialize in negativity.

Post: Had no idea Californians were spiritual

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Alex J.:

I don't live in LA i invest there and I can assure you first hand what I'm telling you is factual. ...Good luck I don't know what else to tell you.  ...

Factual.... again, the logic seems to be, its a fact because I said so. It doesnt work that way. I sure hope you dont have anymore bad factless info... I have just about heard enough of it already. 

Post: Had no idea Californians were spiritual

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Joe J.:

@Account Closed I just don't understand what bothers you so much when people provide personal insight?  It's not like they're claiming that their personal experiences = blanket facts.  Even if you disagree with them, why do you feel the need to "prove them wrong"?

I don't doubt the validity behind the median income and home price stats you referenced.  I also don't use that as the end all/be all to determine whether or not LA is a reasonable place to invest in.

Most people (including myself) come to the BP forums to gain something: knowledge/insight, advice, fulfillment in helping others, a platform to network or just community.  Most of my experience has been very positive here with people responding in a very collaborative manner.  What are you gaining by attempting to prove people wrong?  

My wife thinks "The Notebook" is one of the best films ever.  What would be the benefit for me to convince her that the movie actually sucks.  I love hearing different opinions.  I can choose to filter out those that I feel are irrelevant or inaccurate and take those that I feel are beneficial.

If you don't like California, don't live/invest there.  Nothing wrong with that.  

 Perhaps you should reread the post made just a few responses before yours... in many cases what you have been trying to claim as facts is what I would say is the equivalent of sleep talking... totally irrational. Then you get mad when told you aren't correct. We are wired differently, I dont tolerate bad information.

Post: Had no idea Californians were spiritual

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Andrey Y.:

Of all people, your posts and thoughts, I have a very not so special place for and trust me when I say, you dont want to know where that is. You are the ones arguing just to argue not just without fact but despite being hit with the facts. Point the finger in your direction.

Evidence? You wouldnt even know what that looks like if it ran out of somewhere to chase you. How did you even manage to spell that correctly? So far you have someone claiming their mother's income represents LA's wage level, another that his buddy's income does and just after posting direct information for City of LA wages, yet another person claims some imaginary couple making almost three times the median wage represents LA's wages.

You are correct that I made up my mind about something alright --you never trust without verifying any word from anyone claiming to be an LA investor (and I am trying to to say resident). 

You seem to be in the exaggeration business. 

Post: Had no idea Californians were spiritual

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Alex J.:

@Account Closed  the employers you listed all pay reasonably well on average....UCLA city of LA etc.... all pay at least 60-70k/ yr so figure two people in a house working making 120-140k is more than enough to rent in many areas and still save a little bit if you are frugal.

LA has a lot of very high paying jobs and everybody seems to have a side hustle... a lot of people are also self employed and show low income because they write everything off to reduce tax liability yet still have high cashflow...the economy functions because it has 8m+ people living in the area and multiple people working in a household....and it doesnt have horrible weather like new york... what a dump that place is!!! lol jk giving you a hard time since you are from brooklyn 

 This is the sort of response that I often find just disturbing. And then someone has the nerve to point fingers in my direction about arguing when what you have been doing is simple make irrational baseless claims.

It seems you may just be used to misinforming people all the time, like a bad realtor. UCLA, City of LA all pay at least 60-70K? Two people in a house in LA make $120-$140K?  And where is your proof? I forgot, you dont have it!

Another correction... I seem to hear that a lot of LA residents have a 'side hustle' or are self employed. That is already accounted for. In fact, we know exactly how many people are self employed in LA -- exact nunmber.

The data is right here. Neither median household income or family income in LA is anywhere near $100K. Its $50,000. You are the ones arguing just to argue... point the fingers at yourselves.

Total households City of LA 1,342,761 100.0%
Less than $10,000 107,910 8.0%
$10,000 to $14,999 93,278 6.9%
$15,000 to $24,999 159,005 11.8%
$25,000 to $34,999 138,927 10.3%
$35,000 to $49,999 169,744 12.6%
$50,000 to $74,999 213,162 15.9%
$75,000 to $99,999 139,986 10.4%
$100,000 to $149,999 158,513 11.8%
$150,000 to $199,999 68,749 5.1%
$200,000 or more 93,487 7.0%
. . .
Median household income (dollars) $50,205.00 .

Post: Is leverage safe or risky?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Professional
  • Brooklyn, NY
  • Posts 624
  • Votes 147
Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:
Originally posted by @Account Closed:
Originally posted by @Lesley Resnick:

There is an argument to be made for both sides.  It really comes down to can you sleep at night?

My own view is leverage is the way to go. I would propose that leverage is less risky than owing a property free and clear. If everything went south , prices drop and financing dried up. I could walk away having lost a small amount of money since the property was in an LLC, so be it. In this scenario the bank would not want it back there is no meat on the bone. I could most likely cut a deal with them.

If I owned it free and clear and could not rent it, but still had to maintain it and pay taxes and insurance, I would not want to lose the property and be forced to keep paying or take a huge loss in selling.

Alternatively I have some or all of the cash on hand that would have been locked into the paid in full property.  I could manage through the storm more effectively. 

While generally speaking, you use leverage to increase your ability to do more...stating that it is 'less risky' than owning the property debt free is sort of a stretch. Buying cash is like lending to yourself at the prevailing market rate. People typically use debt to expand their RE investment. So instead on buying 1 or 2 properties, with leverage, you may be able to get 9 or more. If the market were to tank as you described... you would likely have been invested in a lot more properties and consequently incur more loss.

 "stating that it is 'less risky' than owning the property debt free is sort of a stretch"

Let me ask you these three questions.  Based on a leveraged property versus an all cash property:

1 - WHAT is at risk?

2 - Who is AT risk?

3 - Who is THE risk?

"Buying cash is like lending to yourself at the prevailing market rate." 

To the contrary.  Buying with cash is like taking your money, and putting it under your mattress....and going back to the statement above this one, if someone takes your mattress, you lost all your money.

"If the market were to tank as you described... you would likely have been invested in a lot more properties and consequently incur more loss".

Again, to the contrary.  If the market tanks, and you have little or none of  your cash in a property, you have lost little or nothing.  This is all based on a rental property, since those are the only ones you would be holding with a mortgage.  None of your expenses go up due to the loss in value (your taxes could even get reduced), and your rents usually increase due to more renters on the market...or at least stays the same.

The value of the property is the same whether you are leveraged or not.  The only thing that does change is the value of the cash that is into the property...which is far less with a leveraged owner.

 The title of the thread is a question..... "Is leverage safe or risky?"

This is the definition of risk, last time I checked: "...a situation involving exposure to danger."

This is the definition of safe, last I checked also: "...protected from or not exposed to danger or risk; not likely to be harmed or lost."

Buying RE is already risky business, when you then borrow money to buy (incuring an expense), that increases your risk. There is always a default risk on the loan that has its consequence. Using your own money (without expense) , no default risk... which exposes you to danger? 

We dont need to get into an opportunity cost discussion to answer what is a very basic question.

If you were certain market would tank, whats the logic in borrowing money then in the first place or using your money at all?