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All Forum Posts by: Mike Dymski

Mike Dymski has started 61 posts and replied 4802 times.

Post: How Do You Decide When to Refinance vs. Sell?

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

Time to sell is when the projected IRR on an existing property is lower than the projected IRR on a new acquisition.

Post: Capital Markets Overview !

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018
Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @Account Closed:
Quote from @Nick Bednarczyk:

Capital Markets Commentary – September 10, 2024

Good Morning! Here is a quick update on the market for you:

Fed's almost certainly going to cut rates this month—traders are split on how big it'll be though.

Odds are at 75% for a 25-basis point cut and 25% for a 50-basis point cut. Over the next year, around 250 basis points of cuts are expected. If cuts don’t boost the economy enough, we might see shorter-dated Treasuries rallying more. Mortgage rates have been falling for four weeks, now about 90 basis points lower than last year!

Key things this week: Inflation Data

CPI drops tomorrow, PPI on Thursday—lower gas prices might cool these numbers a bit. Consumer sentiment is expected to improve with inflation easing. No Fed speakers this week since we’re in the quiet period before their meeting.

We saw wholesale inventories tick up by 0.2% in July and consumer credit jumped more than expected. Treasury’s kicking off bond auctions with a $58 billion 3-year note today. Yields are hovering around recent lows, with the 10-year at 3.697%. Stocks dipped last week after labor data disappointed. Small business optimism is down, mostly due to high inflation and weakening demand. All eyes are on tomorrow’s CPI for any hints of what's next for the market and the Fed's rate moves.

Thank you to our partners for sharing this information for us.

Will a rate cut of 50 bp impact the housing market? Will it be enough to make up for the lack of income growth, buyer sentiment, unknown economic plan for after the election and the high valuations of properties? Or, will housing costs crash by 50% so we are back to a normal income to price ratio? 

 I am going to throw this out there and play devils advocate- while I believe they will cut rates because its an election coming, I ask why are they cutting rates? Rate cuts could spur inflation again, which I think most people who go to the grocery store etc. really do not think its getting that much better and home prices are not falling dramatically. 

Unemployment is at 4.2% which historically its around 4.5%. Mortgage defaults are 1.5% where historically its 3%. 

so my question is - why?

Because...


Post: Does This Make Sense? Syndication Question

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018
Quote from @William Coet:
Quote from @Mike Dymski:

If you have to ask, it's a problem.  Many LPs know so much about the sponsor and the opportunity that it would be clear to them if it was an issue.


Would they allow me to speak with other investors?  Any other suggestions for analyzing the quality of the offering and the group making the offering?

Thank you


Check out the forums at 506investorgroup.com or privateinvestorclub.com where opportunities and sponsors are vetted extensively.  BP has a new site as well for LPs.  Follow sponsors' offerings for years (in many cases, prior to investing) and you'll get familiar with them.  Investing in syndications, done properly, takes a lot of time.  There have been many posts on the BP forums over the past year that illustrate the challenges with insufficient diligence.

Post: Does This Make Sense? Syndication Question

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

If you have to ask, it's a problem.  Many LPs know so much about the sponsor and the opportunity that it would be clear to them if it was an issue.

Post: Is a paid roof inspection more credible than "free estimate"?

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

Get a third estimate from a contractor you trust.  I would not pay for an inspection.

Post: How to make the decision to take appreciation versus cash flow?

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

Nice work, you've earned $340k in five years.  You should be giving us advice.

Post: Waaa??? Single Family Home Valuation if used as STR

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

It's logical but will only appraise based on comparable sales and, if it's an area with few STR sales in the past 12 months, it will appraise just like an owner occupied home.

Post: Buying a property with bad tenants

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

For month to month, simply send non renewal notice.  For raising rents, provide written notice for the increase and option for them to provide notice to move out if they are not interested.  Communicate, treat everyone with respect, and provide ample time.

Post: Sell at loss or rent at loss?

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

The past is irrelevant, including what you paid.  You currently have $X amount of equity and have that available to earn a return on it.  Compare the projected returns of keeping your equity in this property with investing the proceeds elsewhere and you have your answer.  Good luck.

Post: No shower for 3 days due to necessary repair

Mike Dymski
#5 Investor Mindset Contributor
Posted
  • Investor
  • Greenville, SC
  • Posts 4,913
  • Votes 13,018

maybe put in a temporary outdoor shower