Hey @Caleb Stevens! I sent you over a message... but to answer your question. This is definitely a hot topic.
- For my new investments. Yes, I have found them to be good deals so far. We just refinanced on one with very high-interest rates which was a very hard pill to swallow, but there is room on the bone still for projections and people are still traveling. We have seen a slight slow down in bookings and occupancies which lower projections but that still doesn't cause me for concern.
- For long-term STR host, I think the same still applies. In fact, they are typically positioned better than others due to having lower interest rates and having recovered some of their upfront costs.
Now the interest rates aren't as much of a concern due to you being able to calculate them into the deal. You can analyze a property with high-interest rates and if it still cash flows with great numbers, then grab it! because it's going to do even better if interest rates go down. Also if we are heading into a recession which should be official here in the next 1-2 months I believe (going by the definition of having the GDP falling for 2 consecutive quarters.) history tells us that interest rates will be lowered as to combat recession. Happens every one. Now to address higher gas costs and inflation. Those contributors definitely affect the travel industry. To what degree this year.. I don't know. The good thing is we can look at data going back quite a few years in certain markets and see how it affected each of those markets during a recession and even better, during a pandemic like Covid. That has given me a lot of confidence to continue to invest in STR's in certain locations because I can see the data before investing and I can plan accordingly. I hope that helps