@Robert Harpster
While paperstac is a great source for one off’s or even a small pool purchase for what I call, retail investors (by no means do mean that in a derogatory way; simply referring to note investors note businesses ), it can’t be our only source.
I work with a few excellent brokers and directly with regional banks. I also occasionally buy from owner financiers as well. It’s takes many sources to run a note business/note fund.
To answer your question about pricing and inventory, I agree with @Jamie Bateman, as that has been our experience as well. When this whole pandemic got started in March and widespread stay-at-home orders where put in place, my phone was ringing off the wall. However those phone calls rarely turned in to seeing some actual product because I alway make it a point to discuss pricing first (no sense in running through a few hundred notes and pricing is way off). The sellers were too close off the heels of 90% of UPB or more on performing/scratch and dents. The nonperforming was being traded at 70-80%. Still no margin in it.
If and when inventory with realistic pricing does pick up, I believe the timing is 12-18 months from now. It just takes time for these things to unfold. It’s not the stock market with massive shifts in a week or months time, hell even in a days time as was seen in March/April.