Thank you for the very thoughtful post. It takes guts to say that you’re a “lazy and passive investor” but I think it’s good to know yourself and your goals. I also consider myself to be pretty lazy, although currently I’m pretty actively finding more deals and growing my business.
I agree with nearly all your points, but I’ll push back on a few items. The theory that you need to be an active landlord (not hire a PM) to make cash flow, I completely disagree and have the data to back it up. I’ve been investing for 5 years and have always had PM’s. I now have about 30 active units. Last year (2019) my cash flow was $43k. In 2020 it was around $30k. My total cash flow in the last 5 years is around $100k and I’ve never had a negative year. I spend very little time on my stabilized rentals, maybe 5 hours per month.
I’ve had some crazy months and even crazy years where I had multiple expensive evictions, repairs and cap ex, but the overall trend of cash flow is positive.
Many of the rentals were BRRRR's and based on the appraisals on the refi's I have about $150k of forced appreciation.
It sounds like you might be cash flow neutral because you kept refinancing, which I think is a completely fine strategy if you keep reinvesting the proceeds like you did.
I’ve had 3 out of state rentals (turnkey) and two of them were cash flow negative. So I definitely agree with your turnkey/PM comments. I did sell two of them and captured a significant amount of appreciation to make them an overall break even investment. Those two are my worst two properties by far.