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All Forum Posts by: J. Martin

J. Martin has started 177 posts and replied 3655 times.

Post: Using range of expenses in your profit / ROE estimates?

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

@Bill Gulley , as far as I can tell, Minh examines everything financial I believe, including probably more real estate deals than our loan review team! lol But he's not a bank examiner. Just me and Johnson. But I would be really interested to see how many there are.. I'm going to search around and see (sometime!)..

I've heard about the 90's, I've heard about SNL's - have had some great fraud speakers and heard some of the greatest swindles around.. But in all honesty a lot harder to find than as many as are likely out there.. Seen some go down in the crisis. Closed a few banks, unfortunately. But I think most are just trying to make a living and and deposit/lend, especially in our community banks.. Bankers and I/B, etc aren't all evil or fraudulent. Just like all examiners are not overzealous or out to punish.. But it has happened..

Post: Using range of expenses in your profit / ROE estimates?

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

@Account Closed , good stuff..

Nice, tight DSCR. Good for you. MF is favored out there, plus you're in a prime location (I assume down there), and I'm sure they take into consideration the strength beyond the subject property DSCR... (I'm assuming recourse beyond standard "bad boy" carveouts).

I'm with you on the timing.. Could have been better; could have been worse. But I am very happy with what I have. Even if I had gone BK in the crisis and was living in a cramped studio, I could be happy. There's a lot in life to enjoy :) Even poor, I could take a beautiful free hike through the Presidio, Land's End, & Sutro Baths like I did last weekend... Honestly though, the CF doesn't hurt either lol

Post: Using range of expenses in your profit / ROE estimates?

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

Oh, @Bill Gulley , and yes, I have seen the same grown man cry who told me 2 weeks earlier that he'd been "banking since before I was born." And this was not from any punitive recommendations. It was from the frustration stemming from an inability to answer basic high-level questions about one of the key areas he was responsible for managing.. I gave him some time to gather himself and he apologized later, and eventually came up with the "right" answers. But it's awkwardly uncomfortable (and maybe even painful) to watch it happen sometimes.. In this case, after hearing that comment coming in the door, it just made it a little harder to bite my tongue.. I try to take the high road and let things roll off. I don't like to shave any time off my life dwelling on negative things.. But damn, it was ironic!

In all fairness, I wouldn't really want to be on the other side of the table and have someone scrutinize my work. But that's part of what the fat paycheck and the FDIC-insured deposits that produce all the ROE come with.. a highly regulated environment..

Post: Using range of expenses in your profit / ROE estimates?

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

@Bill Gulley How bored do you want to get?! (unless you're still interested in this stuff) Basel 3 came up with a specific level of solid liquidity needed for a prescribed runoff level. The proposed US interagency guidance proposes larger banks need to hold high quality, (super) liquid assets for a prescribed amount of runoff (overly prescribed/inflexible if you ask me) - rather than relying on off-balance sheet funding sources and a balance sheet full of less liquid investments/assets (they more or less want treasuries or cash to fulfill a low/moderate runoff, with haircuts/limits on Agency MBS)

The caveat is that the runoff is what you would see in a low/medium liquidity stress scenario, so they can still project to lean on borrowings in high stress. I'm just worried these relatively mild stresses become the new "PCA capital standards" of the liquidity world. Everyone measures against that bar, which is often times too low for overall risk management.. The guidance is just proposed and in comment period now, so as they say, we'll burn that bridge when we get there! lol

And I didn't mean any offense by "sound like a banker!" In this case, just that both you, @Account Closed , and the bankers reasonably point out how the economic environment surrounding FOMC rate increases are likely to contribute to rent increases.. But good to know you'll be able to manage it either way ;)

Post: Aspiring investor - Phoenix, AZ

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

Welcome @Glenn Lucas ,

You'll find lots of good info in the "Learn" link across the top navigation bar, and in the link at the top of the new intro section. You can tag people by putting @ in front of their name, then clicking their name when it pops up at the bottom of the message box. You can click on the "vote" button if you like someone's post or is helpful. And you can earn "awards" for various "achievements" - just look at your profile. Hope that helps with the site!

On the investment side, after I got knowledgeable, I bought a 4plex with an FHA loan. I think that's the best way to go big with just a little capital. 3.5% down and they use the rents from the 3 other units to qualify you, so ups your purchase price a lot.. Just my 2 cents! Good luck with your investments Glenn!

Post: Xmas lights on your 4plex/multifamily?

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

I was going to post some pics @Troy Fisher , but having technical difficulties with the link. Always have problems with tagging people too.. Must be all that new Pro member money flowing in, clogging up the internet pipes! lol

@Jen Kurtz , I like your style ;) Good luck in your adventures!

Post: Using range of expenses in your profit / ROE estimates?

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

@Account Closed , looks like you know your numbers with the variability in the rate.. (why am I not surprised?!) I've also seen the 35-40% expense ratio on MF in the Bay.. And since we're on the topic, not unusual to see an underwriter take into consideration what another 200bp or so would do to DSCR at existing rent levels (although I acknowledge the opportunity for increased rents in the economic environment in which rates are going up..)

Thanks for the kind words for me and @Johnson H. . It's been an amazingly informative experience over the last 5 years of the financial crisis, and only wish I would have jumped in as soon as you Minh! (although was a bit more constrained on capital and capital access..). Of course, if I would have had a dime to my name a few years earlier, I might have got caught up in the crash and learned some REAL leverage lessons.. Lucky timing for me too..

I mentioned the 1031 because you were talking about the (now) low yield on the singles, so thought you might want to swap into a MF with higher CF.. But you're right about the cash-out. Great way to tap the equity without disposing if you're good with your existing gross rents/profit per dollar tied up after cash-out.

@Bill Gulley , you sound like a banker on CRE stress testing with rate increases: "Well if rates go up, they'll be making more in rents! So my DSCR will be flat!" Well...... that's probably true, but this is a stress test! lol You should have seen the look on this C-level's face today when we told him they were going to have to hold more liquid assets (and squeeze ROE further!) with the new guidance coming out.. It's a different world today.. Hopefully we can carry your torch in a "satisfactory," or even "strong" manner into the future!!

Post: New member from the Bay Area.

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

Welcome from the East Bay @Thomas Hart ! You'll find lots of good info as others mentioned/linked. Also, try the "Learn" link across the top navigation bar. You can tag people by putting @ in front of their name, then clicking their name when it pops up at the bottom of the message box. You can click on the "vote" button if you like someone's post or is helpful. And you can earn "awards" for various "achievements" - just look at your profile. Hope that helps!

Btw, I've spent some time just above you in Healdsburg, and love relaxing up there.. But I live down in the flats of Richmond where I bought my 4plex.. Little different vibe! lol Welcome Thomas. And soak up all that great information on the site. See in the forums!

Post: Can bitcoin be utilized in real estate?

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

@Account Closed , they're located in a loft-type space over there in the SOMA in SF where you had identified. You're right about no phone number, but you can shame them on their twitter or FB accounts if you have any problems or can't reach them online. Not an entirely unusual way for an online company to handle tech support. But not stellar either. And they also recently raised $25MM from some reputable private equity firms, so while their contact information may be below typical brick-and-mortar standards, it is a WORLD above what is available to buy bitcoin (ps I just bought some other coins such as lightcoin, feathercoin, peercoin, etc on btc-e, an exchange in bulgaria with an unknown owner. How's that for comparison?!) Coinbase is looking for people with a regulatory background, so I was actually thinking about stopping by and seeing what job opportunities are available..

However, with all of these, you can make the purchase, then transfer the BTC offline so no company has access and no one can hack it. Buyer beware though! On all of it! You are not crazy to be suspicious..

Post: How's this deal? (Investing first time in Houston from San Jose, California)

J. Martin
#1 Real Estate Events & Meetups Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Oakland, CA
  • Posts 3,833
  • Votes 2,925

Hi @Sandeep, and welcome to BP! Good job on the timing, and I think you're right that a lot of deals in the South Bay are drying up. Still some in the East Bay, but a different market. I invest in Richmond and still doing well on cash flow. But many others making good money out of state too..

If @Johnson H. is around on the forums and not tired of answering Houston questions, maybe he can help you. And for a second, you sounded like @Account Closed , although I think he pushed his chips "all in" a bit earlier.. Maybe you two put in competing offers on an REO in the South Bay in 2009 and didn't even know it.. When there's blood in the streets..!